CBC News projects a Liberal minority government

[George II]

This discussion thread was locked as off-topic by NancyBlueINOklahoma (a host of the Latest Breaking News forum).

Source: CBC

CBC News is projecting that Justin Trudeau's Liberals will form a minority government.

The Liberals look set to take most of the seats in Atlantic Canada — a region the party swept in 2015 — with polls in Ontario, Quebec and the Prairies now reporting.

The Liberals are keeping six of seven seats in Newfoundland and Labrador but are losing St. John's East to the NDP's Jack Harris. All four seats on Prince Edward Island are also expected to be won by the Liberals.

CBC is projecting that the Liberals also will hold on to the seats of three high-profile MPs in New Brunswick, P.E.I. and Nova Scotia. Lawrence MacAulay will retain his seat in Cardigan, P.E.I., Dominic LeBlanc will keep his seat in Beauséjour and Geoff Regan will retain Halifax West, according to CBC's projections.

Read more: https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/federal-election-results-2019-cbc-leaders-1.5329485

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GREAT news for Canada and even us. It'll probably be a minority government, but the conservatives lost. Have to wait to see what the final count is.

[bucolic_frolic]

1. Citizens worldwide are awakening to the agenda of the far right

Call it the Trump effect.

[Dawson Leery]

3. +1,000,000

Scheer spent the last week of the campaign fearmongering about MS-13 which is not in Canada.
The far right has united globally and are using identical talking points.

[madaboutharry]

2. Waiting for an inappropriate tweet from Trump.

You know he’ll find a reason to be pissed off about it.

He is so jealous of Trudeau.

[George II]

4. Probably won't see it tonight - he's got his own problems. Good!

[rpannier]

8. The tweet will likely be encouraging the BQ and NDP to coalition with the Conservatives

It's the only way the Conservatives can get majority

Or il douche will focus on the plus seats the republikkans picked up in the senate

Can't think of anything else he might say off the top

to add: It was a good night for the Liberals, but not a great night

[rpannier]

9. His account just twitted

Someone else must have wrote it, because it was gracious and presidential

[C_eh_N_eh_D_eh]

5. Tonight was a big gain for the right wing.

Not as big as were were worried about and not enough to be a disaster, but still quite worrying. And it's the Liberals' fault as much as anybody's.

Of the many ridings that flipped blue (they're coloured the other way around up here, Yanks), I'd like to see how many of them went because the Libs and NDP ended up splitting the left-wing vote. The Liberals bet on the fears of "strategic voters" to keep themselves in power when they backpedalled on voting reform, and hopefully this was a wake-up call.

It looks like the NDP will keep just enough seats to form a solid coalition with the Liberals. But Trudeau, who talks a good game but is not the brilliant progressive so many foreigners seem to think he is, will probably take their support for granted and expect them to keep quiet in Parliament. They need to keep pushing their agenda, and show they're willing to vote down bills that don't do enough for their liking.

[rpannier]

7. Agreed

The Conservatives got the largest share of the vote of any single party: roughly 34.5%.
The Liberals benefited from the hostility people in many parts of Ontario felt toward Premier Ford.
West of Thunder Bay, the Liberals are practically a nonentity.
The NDP cannot afford to become the Lib-Dems of the coalition with the Tories in the UK. They'll get almost no credit and a sizeable blame

[rpannier]

6. A few takeaways -- mostly positive

1. There really is no path for the Conservatives to run a minority government. They would need the support of Bloc Quebec which would move them to 153, but not enough to form a government. They'd need to NDP to back them and that's highly unlikely. Trudeau will need one of the two third or fourth place finishers to get his minority government

2. The Conservatives still can't win in Montreal. They got pummeled again, this time by the Bloc Quebec

3. Saskatchewan and Alberta went Conservative in bigger numbers. Not unexpected, as the NDP has won a couple of ridings in Calgary last time and unlikely to happen again

4. The Ford Factor damaged the Conservatives in Ontario Premier Ford is the second least popular premier in Canada and he was a millstone around the Conservatives

5. NDP MP Brian Masse, a 17-year incumbent who has never lost an election since running federally in 2002, won again

6. Where the Conservatives won, they won pretty big. They will finish with the higher share of the popular vote than any other party. But they still only captured a little over one-third of the vote. A coalition of Liberal-NDP put them at about 50%, coalition of Liberal-BC is about 40. Throw in the Green Party and you get their roughly 6% share of the vote (and 3 ridings)

[OKNancy]

10. Sorry - someone beat you to it by a few minutes - Locking

https://www.democraticunderground.com/10142384445