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appalachiablue

(41,113 posts)
Sat Dec 21, 2019, 11:52 AM Dec 2019

World's Population To Hit 7.75 Billion In 2019

Source: DW

The alarming increase is the estimate from a German foundation that monitors populations. It also suggests the 8 billion mark will be reached in the year 2023. By the end of this year there will be some 7.75 billion people living on planet earth, according to Germany's Foundation for World Population (DSW).

The estimate gauges that the world's population will have increased by 83 million since January 1 2019, which equates to roughly the number of inhabitants in Germany. The globe's population is increasing at the rate of 156 every minute and DSW predict the 8 billion mark will be surpassed within four years.

African population to double by 2050. The foundation also predicts that Africa's population will double over the next 20 years. An African mother bears 4.4 children on average compared to the global average of 2.4. The UN's "World Population Prospects" report released in June this year predicted that the world's population would grow to 9.7 billion by 2050.

The same report also predicted that by the same year, more than half the world's population would be concentrated in India, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Tanzania, Indonesia, Egypt and the United States. In addition, India is expected to overtake China as the world's most populous country by 2027...(Watch Video).



Read more: https://www.dw.com/en/worlds-population-to-hit-775-billion-in-2019/a-51758905



28 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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World's Population To Hit 7.75 Billion In 2019 (Original Post) appalachiablue Dec 2019 OP
We were always taught in school we'd run out of food sandensea Dec 2019 #1
Food and fresh water shortages will likely be a cause of climate change, no? Auggie Dec 2019 #2
A vicious cycle sandensea Dec 2019 #3
I read an article yesterday about water theft in Australia. CrispyQ Dec 2019 #13
That's sad to hear. I can imagine it's happening in many desert countries. sandensea Dec 2019 #15
Stressors at some point should slow growth or even cause contraction bucolic_frolic Dec 2019 #4
Growth has already started to slow Jose Garcia Dec 2019 #23
"African population to double by 2050 .... will double over the next 20 years" progree Dec 2019 #5
Here's an interesting site that gives a lot of info for population OnlinePoker Dec 2019 #6
Males now outnumber females? Polybius Dec 2019 #9
I think that's because of China's one-child policy OnlinePoker Dec 2019 #10
Thats correct, due to preference of boys over girls sadly onetexan Dec 2019 #26
"World's Population To Hit 7.75 Billion In 2019" LudwigPastorius Dec 2019 #7
mother nature has her ways of stopping overpopulation of species nt msongs Dec 2019 #8
3 deg centigrade more warning will solve the problem. roamer65 Dec 2019 #11
We're behaving like a locusts swarm NickB79 Dec 2019 #12
Precisely Yeehah Dec 2019 #17
Six billion miracles is enough. CrispyQ Dec 2019 #14
Unlimted supply of condoms and ban religions, DONE. Brainfodder Dec 2019 #16
Best thing that could happen for the planet is a severe worldwide depression. roamer65 Dec 2019 #18
The best thing that could happen would be to educate and empower women in third-world countries, smirkymonkey Dec 2019 #19
Or cash incentives for men to get vasectomies. roamer65 Dec 2019 #20
Thank you! nt Ilsa Dec 2019 #21
First world nations environmental impact are far greater than third world nations. progressoid Dec 2019 #25
Well said onetexan Dec 2019 #27
Sure is easy for a first-worlder to say, isn't it? Marengo Dec 2019 #22
The Black Death/Black Plague of the years 1347-1352, wiped out 60 to 200 million empedocles Dec 2019 #28
I can remember in the 8th grade... Maxheader Dec 2019 #24

sandensea

(21,615 posts)
1. We were always taught in school we'd run out of food
Sat Dec 21, 2019, 12:16 PM
Dec 2019

But what we may run out of, is water.

Not coincidentally, billionaires and big players like Nestlé are buying fresh aquifers wherever they can (Bush among them).

sandensea

(21,615 posts)
3. A vicious cycle
Sat Dec 21, 2019, 12:28 PM
Dec 2019

Climate change worsens food shortages in desert,water-logged or overcrowded countries (mainly the very poor ones) - and this in turn forces their rural communities to deforest even more.

Thus exacerbating climate change, and so on.

Plus you've got assholes like Bolsonazi in Brazil who are deliberately herding his country's slum-dwellers (many millions) into the Amazon, so they won't bother the tourists.

Guess what they do once they get there.

CrispyQ

(36,437 posts)
13. I read an article yesterday about water theft in Australia.
Sun Dec 22, 2019, 12:46 PM
Dec 2019

Water towers or any place where water is stored are being targeted.

sandensea

(21,615 posts)
15. That's sad to hear. I can imagine it's happening in many desert countries.
Sun Dec 22, 2019, 02:36 PM
Dec 2019

Australia isn't often thought of as a "desert country" - but as you know, most of it is.

It's just that most of its people have historically lived in the fertile valleys of New South Wales and along the coast.

Now even those areas are becoming semi-deserts - and they've got 25 million people plus a large agricultural sector.

In some ways, Australia is the canary in the coal mine for what more and more countries can expect by 2100 - not to mention poor desert countries in the Sahara.

What with their birthrates too!

bucolic_frolic

(43,115 posts)
4. Stressors at some point should slow growth or even cause contraction
Sat Dec 21, 2019, 12:37 PM
Dec 2019

temperature stress in particular, for children and the elderly. but also food stress. i seem to remember from psy bio science that a certain percentage of fat is required for pregnancy. and pollution stress.

progree

(10,901 posts)
5. "African population to double by 2050 .... will double over the next 20 years"
Sat Dec 21, 2019, 12:37 PM
Dec 2019

Hmm, if it will double by 2039 or 2040 (2019 or 2020 plus 20), then it will almost certainly be well over double by 2050 which is 30 or 31 years away from 2019 or 2020. I'm guessing they meant to say "will double over the next 30 years".

(For comparions, The UN report predicts that by 2050, Africa's population will increase by 90.3% -- a factor of 1.903 -- which is just short of a doubling (factor of 2.000). )

UN numbers from the report and the interactive tool at
https://population.un.org/wpp/

(As an aside, the UN report does say Africa's Sub-Saharan population is projected to double by 2050, but not Africa as a whole, which one has to dig out with the interactive tool)

The UN's "World Population Prospects" report released in June this year predicted that the world's population would grow to 9.7 billion by 2050.


Sadlly the article didn't say what the Germany's Foundation for World Population predicts for 2050...

From this, link given in the article, and then clicking on "Translate This Page"
https://www.dsw.org/weltbevoelkerung-jahreswechsel/
If the world were today a village with only 100 inhabitants, 59 would be from Asia, 17 from Africa, ten from Europe, eight from Latin America, five from North America and one from Oceania. The number of villagers would increase to 128 by 2050.


So if the population is 7,754,847,000 at the end of 2019
then it will be 7,754,847,000 * 128/100 = 9,926,204 or so by 2050 -- higher than the UN's 9.7 billion figure.

OnlinePoker

(5,719 posts)
6. Here's an interesting site that gives a lot of info for population
Sat Dec 21, 2019, 01:15 PM
Dec 2019

You can go down to individual countries and see the various stats and trends.

https://countrymeters.info/en

OnlinePoker

(5,719 posts)
10. I think that's because of China's one-child policy
Sat Dec 21, 2019, 04:35 PM
Dec 2019

Sex selection or outright infanticide of girls have skewed their numbers completely out of the normal ranges. There are currently 54 million more males than females in China.

On edit: India has a similar situation, without even having the one-child policy.

onetexan

(13,033 posts)
26. Thats correct, due to preference of boys over girls sadly
Tue Dec 24, 2019, 07:02 AM
Dec 2019

Google 'india female infanticide' & you can see the shocking articles that detail what a problem this is in India.

roamer65

(36,745 posts)
11. 3 deg centigrade more warning will solve the problem.
Sat Dec 21, 2019, 05:38 PM
Dec 2019

Maybe less when the wars start.

I’m not gonna worry about it. I don’t have children. I’ve done my part to combat the problem.

Others need to step up and change their ways.

NickB79

(19,233 posts)
12. We're behaving like a locusts swarm
Sat Dec 21, 2019, 07:32 PM
Dec 2019

Devouring all resources before us, leaving denuded ground behind.

I weep for the future my daughter will inherit. I figure she'll get to see the collapse of human civilization in the 70 years she has left here. He'll, I may get to see it if I live another 40-50 yr.

roamer65

(36,745 posts)
18. Best thing that could happen for the planet is a severe worldwide depression.
Sun Dec 22, 2019, 05:54 PM
Dec 2019

Severe enough to bring population growth to ZERO.

Collapse of the fiat currency system would do nicely.

 

smirkymonkey

(63,221 posts)
19. The best thing that could happen would be to educate and empower women in third-world countries,
Sun Dec 22, 2019, 09:42 PM
Dec 2019

which would naturally reduce the excess population without having to resort to drastic measures. The more educated and empowered women are in a society, the lower the birthrate. This is something that will take time, but it needs to happen if we want to control fertility in those nations that are unable to provide for the children they are producing.

roamer65

(36,745 posts)
20. Or cash incentives for men to get vasectomies.
Mon Dec 23, 2019, 03:47 AM
Dec 2019

Women should not have to bear all of the burden of birth control.

progressoid

(49,961 posts)
25. First world nations environmental impact are far greater than third world nations.
Tue Dec 24, 2019, 06:23 AM
Dec 2019

Even if all the third world stopped having babies, we'd still be in trouble.





Taking a long-haul flight generates more carbon emissions than the average person in dozens of countries around the world produces in a whole year, a new Guardian analysis has found.

The figures highlight the disproportionate carbon footprint of those who can afford to fly, with even a short-haul return flight from London to Edinburgh contributing more CO2 than the mean annual emissions of a person in Uganda or Somalia.


If everyone lived like the average American, the Earth's annual production of resources would be depleted by the end of March, the Global Footprint Network's report said.


empedocles

(15,751 posts)
28. The Black Death/Black Plague of the years 1347-1352, wiped out 60 to 200 million
Tue Dec 24, 2019, 08:11 AM
Dec 2019

inhabitants, 30-60% of the population in 'Europe'. [wiki]

Economic boom for surviving wage earners due to scarcity of labor.

Maxheader

(4,371 posts)
24. I can remember in the 8th grade...
Mon Dec 23, 2019, 08:54 PM
Dec 2019

Our teacher was going on about how quickly the worlds population was increasing...He also
was amazed at the usofas' population, which then was 200 million...1965...

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