States of Play: Battleground Survey

[kansasobama]

This discussion thread was locked as off-topic by Omaha Steve (a host of the Latest Breaking News forum).

Source: CNBC

CNBC/Change Research Poll in Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin: May 29-31, 2020

Read more: https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-6

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There are some dangers here. We know Florida is never voting for Dems nor is North Carolina. I am really worried about PA and Wisconsin. Even Michigan is scary. I don't get what is going on in PA.

[msongs]

1. florida and north carolina voted for obama nt

[DURHAM D]

12. i believe Obama won NC in 2008 and

lost it in 2012.

[Proud liberal 80]

2. Doesn't make sense

He is expanding his lead by 7 nationally but now trailing in Arizona and losing by 4 in Pennsylvania....but leading in Fla and NC

[ArizonaLib]

5. I don't trust CNBC's polling. They are creating their own headlines.

Having said that, keep working and get everyone we can out to vote. We can't take our feet off the pedal. This needs to be an epic defeat for him.

[Rebl2]

18. Me either

[ArizonaLib]

3. If you look at the rest of the polling for these states and other CNBC polling

their polling seems to lean a little more than reasonably to the right. Look at 538's presidential election polling and their A+ and A polls, like ABC New's polls. He is going down, and remember that the landslide the LBJ carried in 1964 did not help him even compete in the 1968 primaries - he had to quit. This administration is going down. Keep the faith and organize voting.

[RhodeIslandOne]

4. C minus pollster

[MRDAWG]

6. I can't believe it is close after

the last 3 months.

[Demsrule86]

15. It's change research and they are 'surveying' multiple states...it is garbage. Biden is

significantly ahead...he is even up by two in Ohio in a Fox poll...when you see change research just throw it out.

[bucolic_frolic]

7. Lockdowns have not been popular in PA

and gun huggers are always buzzed

[HockeyMom]

13. Maybe why Wolf is reopening?

Retail has been reopened. Bars and Restaurants to Outdoors. SCHOOLS are going to reopened as of July 1st.

Yes, lockdowns are not popular in PA. Perhaps there is a political motive going on with Wolf? Give the people what they want and they will remember which Party did it? BTW, I live in the Poconos now.

[bucolic_frolic]

17. Locked down counties are lobbying and complaining

even those under Democratic control. So they have to do something. But the governors did what they had to do, based on the rapid growth of the pandemic, and they did slow the curve, but we will have round 2 unless it actually has mutated as one Italian doctor reported this week.

And give Wolf points for steering between the 2 extremes. We now know that retail stores can stay open if we have distancing and masks. We didn't know that in early April. Now that model can be applied to other establishments, and to workplaces, some of which are going remote. So we've gotten a lot for time well spent. We may squeak by a bit better than we would have.

[caber09]

8. C- Rated Poll..

Very different than all recent polling, by pollsters with higher ratings...3900 people in 6 states, 600+ people in each state...Biden's lead is getting too "big" in other polls, any bigger they wont be able to reign in for a horserace...so its horserace time! He isnt basically tied in TX, but down in his home state of PA, especially when all the other polls show it very differently
PS: Just Fox News Poll: Fox News Poll: Biden ahead in Arizona (+4), Kelly trouncing McSally in Senate race (+13), Biden +2 OH, Biden +9 in WI.

[Jarqui]

9. BS poll. Don't waste your time. nt

[ms liberty]

10. Maybe you "THINK" NC is never voting Dem but you would be wrong

Perhaps you should pay closer attention to your facts. We currently have a Dem governor and went for Obama in 08 by a healthy margin. Over the course of the last 30 years we've had Governors from both parties, state legislatures controlled by both parties, and federal representatives in the house and senate from both parties. We are what is known as a purple state. Right now it could go either way in NC, IMO. It is too far out to be sure, but things do look more hopeful than I would have thought six months ago.

[LogicFirst]

11. Half a dozen AZ polls show Biden over Trump by 3 to 5 points

[Tetrachloride]

14. The heart of the most liberal city in Wisconsin was damaged by protests.

[Thekaspervote]

16. Real poll averages with high ratings beg to differ

https://projects.jhkforecasts.com/presidential-forecast

www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/general_election/

Even the betting markets have Biden well ahead.

https://www.predictit.org/

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/arizona

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/wisconsin/

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/florida/

[kansasobama]

19. I hope this is incorrect

I was worried because it is a CNBC poll and thought it would lean left. If so, a close election is worrisome. Of course, I just want to win in the end.

[SoFlaBro]

20. Bottom of the barrel pollster.

From 538

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/?ex_cid=irpromo

[Omaha Steve]

21. After a review by forum hosts....LOCKING

2 days ago 7 min read

Way over the LBN 12 hour limit!

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