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Wed Nov 4, 2020, 11:31 AM

Bad Polling or Low Turnout?

This discussion thread was locked as off-topic by EarlG (a host of the Latest Breaking News forum).

Source: many experts

If you had said turnout would only be at most 145,000,000 voters that would suggest using lower turnout models which would be very favorable to Trump. All that I heard for weeks was that turnout would be 150 to 160 million and if that had happened Biden might get 400+ electoral votes. It didn't happen that way.
I think if you went to 538, the Economist model, Charlie Cook, Larry Sabato and Sam Wang and told them 145,000,000 would be cast ....maybe lower.... all the polling would be much closer.
Then again during a Pandemic it might be hard to model turnout.

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