Greece, the Troika, and the New York Times
By William K. Black
Bloomington, MN: December 29, 2014
As I have explained in prior articles, there is an excellent chance that the Troikas infliction of austerity on the eurozones periphery could, as with the austerity inflicted under the Washington Consensus continue to produce such long-term rolling recessions that it creates a political dynamic that discredits such economic malpractice and brings to power leaders elected on the promise that they will adopt economically literate policies. The first case of this in the eurozone could be Greece. (Hollande won office on a platform of opposing inflicting austerity on France, but purged his government of those that most strongly opposed austerity and implemented policies that moved increasingly toward austerity. The French economy stagnated and Hollandes approval ratings are dismal.)
Greeces coalition government led by Prime Minister Antonis Samaras failed, in multiple tries, to garner enough support to continue to rule. The result will be national elections on January 25, 2015. The results of the election are uncertain, but the leader in the polls is the Syriza party led by Alexis Tsipras, which is running on an anti-austerity platform.
The New York Times web version has four recent articles on Greece dated December 27-29, 2014. Ill begin with the only one that is not a complete embarrassment, Suzanne Daleys December 29 article titled Greek Patience with Austerity Nears Its Limit. While the journalist often does not select the article title, as I will show Daley either chose or inspired the title. Her title signals the central problem with the article. Patience has nothing to do with the issue and is most assuredly not a virtue in this context. The title suggests that if the Greeks were simply more German, more patient, all would be well. The reality is that the Greek people, as with their counterparts in much of the eurozone, have been far too patient with the economic equivalent of bleeding the patient (austerity). All other factors held constant, the longer austerity continues the slower the recovery and the greater the misery.
As Bill Mitchell always emphasizes, governments choose the level of unemployment and the Troika and the Greek leaders who succumbed to its extortion have chosen to create catastrophic rates of unemployment in Greece that continue a full six years after the peak of the crisis. Greece is suffering from Great Depression levels of unemployment and lost GDP. Indeed, Greece suffered relatively less from the Great Depression, which reduced per capita GDP (peak-to-trough by approximately 6%). In the case of the Great Depression, Greece was able to return to pre-Depression GDP levels within four years. The troika, and the Greek leaders who gave to the troikas threats condemned Greece to a crisis that is far more severe and far longer than was the Great Depression. No people worthy of being a Nation would be patient with seeing such horrors gratuitously inflicted on their fellow countrymen. They would rise up and put a stop to such depraved policies.
in full: http://neweconomicperspectives.org/2014/12/greece-troika-new-york-times.html#more-8942
adirondacker
(2,921 posts)These are some great questions that are asked...
"Second, even if one is determined to bleed the economy via austerity as a quack cure for a Great Recession, why would one cause mass unemployment? Why not pay people to work on productive tasks? What is the point of sparking suicide, marriage discord (unemployed males do less homework, not more, as they become more depressed), and mass emigration of college graduates? What is the point of wasting the talent of people who are willing and able to work? It takes truly depraved decision-makers to choose mass unemployment as a policy that under the troikas most optimistic assumptions require 21 years (the six years since 2008 plus 15 years) just to regain the jobs it has lost (which is far from full recovery)? Not only has the troikas Greek austerity assumptions consistently proved grossly over optimistic, but the idea that Greece should assume that there will be no future recessions for 15 years is fanciful. The troikas optimistic scenario for Greece is that it will take Greece over five times longer to simply get back the jobs it lost (a very low bar for a recovery) in this crisis than it took Greece to achieve a far fuller recovery from the Great Depression.
Why would anyone in a nation with heavy tourist trade choose to ruin the infrastructure so that tourists will go elsewhere? Are they trying to prove the validity of Marxs description of the role of the reserve army of the unemployed and how it gives the business owners the leverage to commit vicious abuses of workers? This is madness of such proportions that the only question is why it took the Greek people so long to rise up and say we will no longer give in to your demands that we commit these acts of savagery against each other."
Hopefully Greece WILL show the rest of the world how a democracy can work. Screw the IMF and their propagandist entities.
Jefferson23
(30,099 posts)marmar
(77,056 posts)Wish people like Bill Black were actually in charge of the decision-making.
Jefferson23
(30,099 posts)long and the bullshit that is accepted as reasonable positions exemplified in the
NYT pieces must be countered with opinions like the good Bill Black.
quadrature
(2,049 posts)plenty of money for the Olympics,
but not for electricity or water.