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swag

(26,483 posts)
Tue Jul 12, 2016, 08:19 AM Jul 2016

Democrats continue to extend registration lead across the board (Jon Ralston, Ralston Reports)

Last edited Tue Jul 12, 2016, 09:21 AM - Edit history (1)

https://www.ralstonreports.com/blog/democrats-continue-extend-registration-lead-across-board

It may be even worse than it looks for the GOP, if history is a guide.

I have already showed you how far ahead of the last two presidential cycles the Democrats are. But because they have so many groups doing voter registration this time -- locals such as the Culinary as well as national activists -- and the GOP only really has the party (such as it is) and Engage NV, consider what could happen during the next four months:

►On July 1, 2008, the GOP deficit was 55,560; by close of registration for November, it was 100,723.

►On July 1, 2012, the GOP deficit was 44,179; by close of registration for November, it was 90,187.

►On July 1, 2016, the GOP deficit was 69,761; if the Democrats match their past presidential cycle efforts, they will register about 45,000 voters from now until the election. That means the edge could be 115,000 or more. And considering how many Democratic-aligned groups are here doing voter registration and considering how helpful Donald Trump has been to the efforts, there is no reason to believe the numbers will be any smaller -- and they could be bigger.

There's a word for that if it happens: Sweep. Or perhaps two more words are more apt: Permanent realignment.

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Democrats continue to extend registration lead across the board (Jon Ralston, Ralston Reports) (Original Post) swag Jul 2016 OP
Shouldn't that be "Jon" Ralston? brush Jul 2016 #1
Thank you, brush. Duly edited. swag Jul 2016 #2
Please note: This is just Nevada. Democrats need to organize, register and get out the vote. Midnight Writer Jul 2016 #3

Midnight Writer

(21,672 posts)
3. Please note: This is just Nevada. Democrats need to organize, register and get out the vote.
Wed Jul 13, 2016, 01:24 AM
Jul 2016

Since cost/benefits analysis model of businessman Trump will compel him to continue a campaign "on the cheap", this is a golden opportunity for Democrats across the board to advance. Businessman Trump has determined that he can capitalize on his "free media" strategy and short change his "ground game". This is the weakness of the Republicans in this election cycle. Their top candidate doesn't care about ground level party politics, he just wants to be THE PREZ.

However, it will require the Democrats to overcome their biggest weakness; showing up and voting.

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