DEMOCRATS FACE DEEP STRUCTURAL DISADVANTAGE

[Snellius]

DEMOCRATS FACE DEEP STRUCTURAL DISADVANTAGE: The Upshot reports that even if Democrats enjoy a big wave, they might not win the House, due to gerrymandering, population sorting and the number of safe GOP districts:

Today, there are just nine Republicans who represent districts that tilt toward the Democrats … Republicans have so many safe seats that the Democrats would be expected to gain only 22 seats if they flipped Republican-held districts at a rate equivalent to the waves of 2006 or 2010 … It would leave them one seat short of a majority.

To win back the lower chamber, Democrats will probably have to do better than in 2006.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2018/07/19/as-explosive-new-russia-revelations-hit-trump-republicans-throw-him-a-lifeline/?noredirect=on&utm_term=.3e4b082e214f

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/07/19/upshot/democrats-midterm-elections.html

[Crutchez_CuiBono]

1. Can we get through 2018 and win big anyway? Lets not start splitting hairs and giving illusory

reasons why voting doesn't matter. PLEASE stop second guessing.
Haven't had enough yet?
We are going to do better than 2006. And when the voting boxes are destroyed and we go to receipt/paper ballots, we will win even bigger bc we HAVE been winning...they cheat. We fight w one arm behind our backs. THEY CHEAT.

[Loki Liesmith]

2. Model is too conservative

They have a good chance to win it back even if they run behind 2006

[beachbum bob]

3. Obviously this is an opinion not base of facts or evidence and will be the typical

Blah blah Russian bot move to convince we democrats we can't do it. Let's remind everyone right now the special election results of past 2 years...let's remind ourselves of the 100 GOP held seats moving towards democrats....according to cook political report. Right now I'll-13th which WAS considered a safe GOP seat is moving towards the democrat and we see the enthusiasm all on the democratic side...so rest assured when we see the naysayers...it's all bout convincing us democrats to just give up. Pure bullshit

[lagomorph777]

4. NYT is a Russiapublican shill on many occasions.