Iran Calls Trump's Bluff - WSJ Editorial
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Its important to understand how extraordinary this is. The Commander in Chief ordered ships and planes into battle but recalled them because he hadnt asked in advance what the damage and casualties might be? While the planes were in the air, he asked, oh, by the way? This is hard to take at face value. More likely, he changed his mind because he had second thoughts about the military and political consequences of engaging in a conflict he promised as a candidate to avoid. Mr. Trump may have saved Iranian lives now, but his indecision and professed fear of casualties may be risking more American lives later.
Squeezed by the U.S. maximum pressure campaign, Irans rulers are trying to pressure Mr. Trump in return. In recent weeks they have attacked oil pipelines, mined oil tankers, and this week brazenly shot down a $130 million U.S. drone monitoring shipping lanes over international waters. Irans bet is that Mr. Trump is so averse to military confrontation that he will ease U.S. sanctions. On the evidence of the aborted mission, they may be right.
The damage from Mr. Trumps stand-down depends in part on how Irans leaders respond. If they agree to talks to revise the 2015 nuclear agreement, the restraint might pay off. Yet Irans leaders have shown no interest in talking as long as U.S. sanctions are in place. If Mr. Trump eases sanctions to get Iran to the bargaining table, he is back to the Obama nuclear deal. On the other hand if the Iranians escalate again, Mr. Trumps restraint will look misguided and weak. If Americans are now killed by Iranian proxies, his failure to use force to deter attacks will deserve some of the blame.
Laying out these potential stakes isnt war mongering, as the new isolationists on the right claim. This is the reality of geopolitics in which credibility is crucial to deterrence. The more that adversaries think Mr. Trumps threats of force arent credible, the more they will seek to exploit that knowledge.
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The great weakness of Donald Trumps foreign policy is its volatility. He is unpredictable to a fault. He has doubted his own Venezuela policy from the first week he signed off on it. He called Kim Jong Un crazy but now says hes a swell guy. He signed a trade deal with Mexico then threatened it with new tariffs.
More..
https://www.wsj.com/articles/iran-calls-trumps-bluff-11561157239 (paid subscription)
Skittles
(153,122 posts)the man is a complete and utter buffoon, a fucking national embarrassment
CountAllVotes
(20,867 posts)Kind of backfired on dump eh?
How sad not!
Impeach this dangerous fool NOW!
!!
John Fante
(3,479 posts)is that Donald Trump is in charge of it. He's the biggest nitwit ever to hold the presidency.