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question everything

(47,444 posts)
Sat Jun 22, 2019, 12:14 AM Jun 2019

Iran Calls Trump's Bluff - WSJ Editorial

(snip)

It’s important to understand how extraordinary this is. The Commander in Chief ordered ships and planes into battle but recalled them because he hadn’t asked in advance what the damage and casualties might be? While the planes were in the air, he asked, oh, by the way? This is hard to take at face value. More likely, he changed his mind because he had second thoughts about the military and political consequences of engaging in a conflict he promised as a candidate to avoid. Mr. Trump may have saved Iranian lives now, but his indecision and professed fear of casualties may be risking more American lives later.

Squeezed by the U.S. “maximum pressure” campaign, Iran’s rulers are trying to pressure Mr. Trump in return. In recent weeks they have attacked oil pipelines, mined oil tankers, and this week brazenly shot down a $130 million U.S. drone monitoring shipping lanes over international waters. Iran’s bet is that Mr. Trump is so averse to military confrontation that he will ease U.S. sanctions. On the evidence of the aborted mission, they may be right.

The damage from Mr. Trump’s stand-down depends in part on how Iran’s leaders respond. If they agree to talks to revise the 2015 nuclear agreement, the restraint might pay off. Yet Iran’s leaders have shown no interest in talking as long as U.S. sanctions are in place. If Mr. Trump eases sanctions to get Iran to the bargaining table, he is back to the Obama nuclear deal. On the other hand if the Iranians escalate again, Mr. Trump’s restraint will look misguided and weak. If Americans are now killed by Iranian proxies, his failure to use force to deter attacks will deserve some of the blame.

Laying out these potential stakes isn’t “war mongering,” as the new isolationists on the right claim. This is the reality of geopolitics in which credibility is crucial to deterrence. The more that adversaries think Mr. Trump’s threats of force aren’t credible, the more they will seek to exploit that knowledge.

(snip)

The great weakness of Donald Trump’s foreign policy is its volatility. He is unpredictable to a fault. He has doubted his own Venezuela policy from the first week he signed off on it. He called Kim Jong Un crazy but now says he’s a swell guy. He signed a trade deal with Mexico then threatened it with new tariffs.

More..

https://www.wsj.com/articles/iran-calls-trumps-bluff-11561157239 (paid subscription)

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Iran Calls Trump's Bluff - WSJ Editorial (Original Post) question everything Jun 2019 OP
let's cut to the chase Skittles Jun 2019 #1
Chickenshyte war monger CountAllVotes Jun 2019 #2
The great weakness of Donald Trump's foreign policy John Fante Jun 2019 #3

John Fante

(3,479 posts)
3. The great weakness of Donald Trump's foreign policy
Sat Jun 22, 2019, 02:47 AM
Jun 2019

is that Donald Trump is in charge of it. He's the biggest nitwit ever to hold the presidency.

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