BTRTN: Why the Coronavirus Numbers Scare Me

[tgards79]

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2020/03/btrtn-why-coronavirus-numbers-scare-me.html

Let’s look at the trend in Italy. Italy, as you know from the headlines, is having a terrible time with the coronavirus. But looking at this chart, you can see that our trend is right with Italy -- just about eleven days behind them. Their growth rate is in the 20%+ range, and they are up to more than 15,000 cases.

Rates of change persist until something happens to slow them down. And the Italian government basically shut down the entire country three days ago. All shops in the entire country have been shut down by the Italian government, with the exception of supermarkets, pharmacies and a few others. They had already banned travel within the country (except for work or health reasons), and shut down all the schools. (Spain and France just announced, minutes ago, that they are taking similar steps.)

We have not taken any actions remotely resembling that – in fact we have taken little federal action at all within our borders; almost all of our shutdowns have been done voluntarily on a local basis by governors, mayors, or businesses (such as the NBA)....
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[NoMoreRepugs]

1. If Fearless Leader takes no action in his feeble excuse for a mind

he then can’t be blamed for doing something wrong. Hit yourself in the head with a big hammer 10 or 20 times - you’ll then have the ability to understand how the Orange Menace sees the world.

[evertonfc]

2. I think Italian measures

might be necessary in some locations. Not sure, yet, it makes since in all states. I mean, King Co Washington is different than small rural areas. Add some domestic travel restrictions out of these current hot spots.

[tgards79]

3. Here's the mistake...

...waiting until cases build up. The idea is to be proactive, not reactive, get ahead of it, not behind it.