Biden Is Not Out of the Woods: Unanticipated electoral developments...

[BigmanPigman]

Biden Is Not Out of the Woods
Unanticipated electoral developments are affecting both presidential campaigns in surprising ways.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/14/opinion/biden-trump-presidential-election.html#click=https://t.co/oXHoiPQyDA

One way to measure voter enthusiasm is to compare voter registration trends for each party. A Democratic strategist who closely follows the data on a day-to-day basis wrote in a privately circulated newsletter:

Since last week, the share of white non-college over 30 registrations in the battleground states has increased by 10 points compared to September 2016, and the Democratic margin dropped 10 points to just 6 points. And there are serious signs of political engagement by white non-college voters who had not cast ballots in previous elections.

David Wasserman, House editor for The Cook Political Report. wrote on Oct. 1 that voter registration patterns over a longer period in key battleground states show that “Republicans have swamped Democrats in adding new voters to the rolls, a dramatic GOP improvement over 2016.”

Four of the six states Trump won by fewer than five points in 2016 allow voters to register by party: Arizona, Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. In recent months, there have been substantially more Republicans added to the rolls than Democrats in each of them except for Arizona.

More at link.

[The Velveteen Ocelot]

1. NYT just has to keep the horse-race narrative going.

[SWBTATTReg]

2. These doom and gloom based on voter registrations are ridiculous...this is the 3rd article I...

have just saw...enough! Don't really know how they are going to vote anyways so is not really an accurate gauge of upcoming voting patterns...imho.

[lagomorph777]

15. Multiple re-posts of the same article.

It's getting old. Pukes are struggling to catch up to the massive increase in Dem registrations since 2016. It won't save them. There are only so many MAGAts under the outhouse.

[Nictuku]

3. In California you can select 'decline to state' your party

And I know a lot of people register as independents.

I am just wondering if they are only counting registrations in the last few weeks, or overall registrations, and then what of the independents or decline to state folks?

[BigmanPigman]

5. Good point!

[idziak4ever1234]

6. I don't know, but I woke up this morning feeling pretty good...

and all day today it has been nothing but dire warnings.

[underpants]

8. I think it's a GOTV thing

Turnout is everything and 4 years ago the press told everyone it was over and we had the worst turnout ever.

[Blue_playwright]

12. In Kansas...

Tons of Dems register as Republican so they can vote in the primary. The thought is to vote for the person most likely to be defeated and skew the primaries.

I am positive we aren’t the only red state with folks who do this.

[NedRyersonIII]

17. Good idea

Keep them off guard. Screw with the polls.

[NedRyersonIII]

18. PS

Did anyone ever figure out what happened with the exit polls that were so weird for Bush-Kerry? I mean prove beyond a reasonable doubt by valid statisticians. Back then why the hell didn't the primary group of statisticians in America, all of them, figure this out? That's really what should be done. Don't leave anything to one person trying to prove their own theory. Get good real data.

[marble falls]

22. Whats wrong with playing it straight? Why do we have to bocome them?

[NRaleighLiberal]

4. aarrrrggggghhhhhhh!

[Iliyah]

7. White non-college over 30 are already registrated . ..

republicans love to not tell the actual truths . .

Keep eye on the prize.

[beachbumbob]

9. This nonsense is really tiring

[DLCWIdem]

10. Aren't most of the registration dates up already

I thought we were racing to get people registerred in time? So how could this be new news. Just read the article and at the very end it notes these registrations were from March on. They are not recent registrations. Since most polls are polling registerred or likely voters wouldn't these new registrations already be factored into the polling data?

[marie999]

16. In North Carolina you can register to vote when you go to vote in early voting only.

You can not register to vote on November 3rd.

[2naSalit]

11. I know some people who register as r and then vote for Dems

Just because. Wonder if anyone still does that.

[DLCWIdem]

13. Check out the article

First of all the when you read down to the end of the article you find it is talikng about new registrations from earlier in the year from March on. Read it very carefully.

[DLCWIdem]

14. There was something in another thread

Which told of the GOP paying canvasers to register people and they were paid by the number of GOP registrations.

[Eliot Rosewater]

19. I have an idea, just pretend that if you dont vote a known rapist liar thief will be elected

[BigmanPigman]

20. His fans/cult considers those as added bonus features.

The more he stinks of rot, the more they love him.

This article is excellent and makes 100% sense, well worth the read. It was posted on DU before....
https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/finding-positivity/202009/john-deans-authoritarian-nightmare

"...the psychological make-up of President Trump's base. Among their conclusions:

President Trump is an authoritarian leader.
Authoritarianism is deeply embedded in America today.

Trump's base is compromised of personality types that include social dominators, authoritarian followers, as well as "double highs" who combine the worst traits of the two.

Prejudice is the glue that holds this coalition together.

Religious beliefs are not really that important to those who identify as religious fundamentalist or evangelical; not compared with the power that fear and prejudice have over them."

[Eliot Rosewater]

21. That and they are all bigoted and racist