A blue wave on Election Day may unleash $2.5 trillion in stimulus, Goldman Sachs says
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/coronavirus-stimulus-a-blue-wave-on-election-day-may-unleash-billions-goldman-sachs-says-121835364.html
Break out those shovels, picks and the debit cards if a blue wave of Democrats washes into D.C. come Election Day.
Goldman Sachs said Monday in a new note that a blue wave could lead to a whopping $2.5 trillion new stimulus plan. This would likely include a stimulus package in Q1, followed by infrastructure and climate legislation. In this scenario, we would expect legislation expanding health and other benefits, financed by tax increases, to pass in Q3, explained Goldmans Jan Hatzius.
Hatzius further tossed his hat into the debate on whether presidential hopeful Joe Bidens proposed tax hikes on corporations and those earning more than $400,000 a year would help or hurt the economy. We recently analyzed the implications of a fiscal program similar to the Biden campaign proposals and found that the boost to growth from fiscal stimulus would outweigh the negative effects of tax increases, particularly in light of the fact that the increased tax revenue would go to fund new spending. Hatzius added.
Some 15 days until the election, stimulus talks between the Trump administration and Congress remain precarious at best.
Over the weekend, House of Representative Speaker Nancy Pelosi set a 48-hour deadline to pass a stimulus plan. House Democrats have been pushing for a plan north of $2 trillion, which Senate Republicans have rallied against as being too high. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell plans to bring a $500 billion stimulus bill to vote this week.