This chart shows why Trump is *so* dangerous to the GOP

As dumpy trumpy would say---it is what it is.



This chart shows why Trump is *so* dangerous to the GOP

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/26/politics/gop-shrinking-support-trump-graph/?hpt=ob_blogfooterold


Analysis by Chris Cillizza, CNN Editor-at-large

Updated 6:34 AM ET, Tue October 27, 2020


Harry Enten polling analysis: Trump is dragging down GOP





(CNN)Win or lose in eight days' time, President Donald Trump's lasting legacy on the Republican Party will be a shrinking base that looks less and less like the country.

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The chart above -- from Ford Fessenden and Lazaro Gamio, two talented data journalists, for The New York Times -- makes that point in the starkest and most powerful way I have yet seen.




Trump's victory in 2016 was seen as a rebuttal to predictions of a demographic cataclysm for Republicans. Despite the growing diversity of the country and the declining share of White voters as a percentage of the overall electorate, Trump managed to win the White House on the strength of his popularity among Whites without college degrees -- particularly in the Rust Belt states of Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan.

The exit poll from that year tells the story. Trump won Whites with a college degree (or higher) by 3 points over Hillary Clinton. He won Whites without a college degree by 37 points. The former group made up 37% of the overall electorate while the latter was 34%.

The problem for Republicans is that rather than seeking to broaden the GOP coalition after a victory built on White, non-college educated voters, Trump instead seemed intent on alienating all but that hardcore base.


The effects of such a base-centric campaign was evident in the 2018 midterms where Republicans suffered widespread losses as suburban voters -- particularly women -- rebelled against the brand of conservatism Trump was selling.
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