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Wed Oct 28, 2020, 12:00 PM

U.S. & World Report: Tossup States Grow, But Biden Still Leads in Electoral College Projection

As the 2020 presidential race nears its conclusion, Democratic nominee Joe Biden remains the favorite over President Donald Trump. But in our final handicapping of the contest our first since late September we're tweaking a few states' outlooks in the electoral college.

A month ago, we had Biden with 290 electoral votes leaning his way, compared to 185 for Trump and 63 in the tossup category. That put Biden above the all-important 270 electoral-vote benchmark for winning the presidency.

Biden remains above 270 electoral votes in our assessment, though he's down slightly this month to 279. However, Trump has suffered an even bigger erosion, falling to 163. In turn, the tossup category has ballooned to 96 electoral votes.

Our assessment categorizes states as either Safe Republican, Likely Republican, Lean Republican, Tossup, Lean Democratic, Likely Democratic or Safe Democratic. Within each category, we've ranked the states from most likely to vote Republican to most likely to vote Democratic. The goal, after Election Day, is to be able to draw a line in the middle and have all the Republican-won states above the line and all the Democratic-won states below the line.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/analysis-tossup-states-grow-but-biden-still-leads-in-electoral-college-projection/ar-BB1at9OU?li=BBnb7Kz

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Reply U.S. & World Report: Tossup States Grow, But Biden Still Leads in Electoral College Projection (Original post)
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Oct 28 OP
SWBTATTReg Oct 28 #1
TwilightZone Oct 28 #2
SharonClark Oct 28 #3
lagomorph777 Oct 28 #4
NRaleighLiberal Oct 28 #5

Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Wed Oct 28, 2020, 12:10 PM

1. I don't trust MSN what-so-ever anymore, I've looked at their news etc. and it's obviously very

slanted or tainted, I don't know what you want to call it, but I don't even pay attention to it anymore. The only reason I have it show up on my PC is that when I logon via Edge, then Microsoft throws this up on my screen. I need to spend a little time and redirect this to my choice of when I invoke Edge, that the app I want will show up instead of Microsoft's tainted/slanted news page app.

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Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Wed Oct 28, 2020, 12:18 PM

3. Seems like honest analysis. The "toss up" states are all about GOTV now.

SAFE REPUBLICAN (97)
Alabama (9)
Arkansas (6)
Idaho (4)
Indiana (11)
Kentucky (8)
Louisiana (8)
Mississippi (6)
Nebraska, except 2nd District (4)
North Dakota (3)
Oklahoma (7)
South Carolina (9)
South Dakota (3)
Tennessee (11)
West Virginia (5)
Wyoming (3)
LIKELY REPUBLICAN (28)
Kansas (6)
Montana (3)
Utah (6)
Missouri (10)
Alaska (3)
LEAN REPUBLICAN (38)
Texas (38)
TOSS-UP (96)
Ohio (18)
Georgia (16)
Iowa (6)
North Carolina (15)
Maine 2nd District (1)
Florida (29)
Arizona (11)

LEAN DEMOCRATIC (67)
Nebraska 2nd District (1)
Pennsylvania (20)
Wisconsin (10)
Nevada (6)
Minnesota (10)
Michigan (16)
New Hampshire (4)
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC (30)
Maine, except 2nd District (3)
New Mexico (5)
Colorado (9)
Virginia (13)
SAFE DEMOCRATIC (182)
California (55)
Connecticut (7)
Delaware (3)
District of Columbia (3)
Hawaii (4)
Illinois (20)
Maryland (10)
Massachusetts (11)
New Jersey (14)
New York (29)
Oregon (7)
Rhode Island (4)
Vermont (3)
Washington (12)

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Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Wed Oct 28, 2020, 12:44 PM

4. Pretty far out of alignment with the Economist, 538, even RCP.

Whatever.

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Response to Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin (Original post)

Wed Oct 28, 2020, 12:53 PM

5. outlier view.

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