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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(107,711 posts)
Wed Oct 28, 2020, 01:00 PM Oct 2020

U.S. & World Report: Tossup States Grow, But Biden Still Leads in Electoral College Projection

As the 2020 presidential race nears its conclusion, Democratic nominee Joe Biden remains the favorite over President Donald Trump. But in our final handicapping of the contest – our first since late September – we're tweaking a few states' outlooks in the electoral college.

A month ago, we had Biden with 290 electoral votes leaning his way, compared to 185 for Trump and 63 in the tossup category. That put Biden above the all-important 270 electoral-vote benchmark for winning the presidency.

Biden remains above 270 electoral votes in our assessment, though he's down slightly this month to 279. However, Trump has suffered an even bigger erosion, falling to 163. In turn, the tossup category has ballooned to 96 electoral votes.

Our assessment categorizes states as either Safe Republican, Likely Republican, Lean Republican, Tossup, Lean Democratic, Likely Democratic or Safe Democratic. Within each category, we've ranked the states from most likely to vote Republican to most likely to vote Democratic. The goal, after Election Day, is to be able to draw a line in the middle and have all the Republican-won states above the line and all the Democratic-won states below the line.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/analysis-tossup-states-grow-but-biden-still-leads-in-electoral-college-projection/ar-BB1at9OU?li=BBnb7Kz

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U.S. & World Report: Tossup States Grow, But Biden Still Leads in Electoral College Projection (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Oct 2020 OP
I don't trust MSN what-so-ever anymore, I've looked at their news etc. and it's obviously very SWBTATTReg Oct 2020 #1
This message was self-deleted by its author TwilightZone Oct 2020 #2
Seems like honest analysis. The "toss up" states are all about GOTV now. SharonClark Oct 2020 #3
Pretty far out of alignment with the Economist, 538, even RCP. lagomorph777 Oct 2020 #4
outlier view. NRaleighLiberal Oct 2020 #5

SWBTATTReg

(22,059 posts)
1. I don't trust MSN what-so-ever anymore, I've looked at their news etc. and it's obviously very
Wed Oct 28, 2020, 01:10 PM
Oct 2020

slanted or tainted, I don't know what you want to call it, but I don't even pay attention to it anymore. The only reason I have it show up on my PC is that when I logon via Edge, then Microsoft throws this up on my screen. I need to spend a little time and redirect this to my choice of when I invoke Edge, that the app I want will show up instead of Microsoft's tainted/slanted news page app.

Response to SWBTATTReg (Reply #1)

SharonClark

(10,014 posts)
3. Seems like honest analysis. The "toss up" states are all about GOTV now.
Wed Oct 28, 2020, 01:18 PM
Oct 2020
SAFE REPUBLICAN (97)
Alabama (9)
Arkansas (6)
Idaho (4)
Indiana (11)
Kentucky (8)
Louisiana (8)
Mississippi (6)
Nebraska, except 2nd District (4)
North Dakota (3)
Oklahoma (7)
South Carolina (9)
South Dakota (3)
Tennessee (11)
West Virginia (5)
Wyoming (3)
LIKELY REPUBLICAN (28)
Kansas (6)
Montana (3)
Utah (6)
Missouri (10)
Alaska (3)
LEAN REPUBLICAN (38)
Texas (38)
TOSS-UP (96)
Ohio (18)
Georgia (16)
Iowa (6)
North Carolina (15)
Maine 2nd District (1)
Florida (29)
Arizona (11)

LEAN DEMOCRATIC (67)
Nebraska 2nd District (1)
Pennsylvania (20)
Wisconsin (10)
Nevada (6)
Minnesota (10)
Michigan (16)
New Hampshire (4)
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC (30)
Maine, except 2nd District (3)
New Mexico (5)
Colorado (9)
Virginia (13)
SAFE DEMOCRATIC (182)
California (55)
Connecticut (7)
Delaware (3)
District of Columbia (3)
Hawaii (4)
Illinois (20)
Maryland (10)
Massachusetts (11)
New Jersey (14)
New York (29)
Oregon (7)
Rhode Island (4)
Vermont (3)
Washington (12)
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