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bananas

(27,509 posts)
Sun Mar 23, 2014, 01:20 AM Mar 2014

What is the unconditional mathematical expected duration of a flight from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing?

https://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=10152098704133375&id=13012333374&_fb_noscript=1

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Friday Quiz. What is the unconditional mathematical expected duration between departure and time to destination between Kuala Lumpur and Beijing? How about a flight between Rio de Janeiro and Paris?

ANSWER: Infinite. A very tiny probability of crash makes the unconditional expectation infinite.
All other answers with finite duration are conditional on the plane eventually making it to destination.

Yesterday at 5:52am

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What is the unconditional mathematical expected duration of a flight from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing? (Original Post) bananas Mar 2014 OP
Mortapror scorchestew! Monkey pancakes! longship Mar 2014 #1
Depends TlalocW Mar 2014 #2
Are you suggesting... awoke_in_2003 Mar 2014 #3
Sometimes the median is a better measure than the mean. Jim__ Mar 2014 #4
So unconditionally, no flight can ever be late. Loudly Mar 2014 #5

longship

(40,416 posts)
1. Mortapror scorchestew! Monkey pancakes!
Sun Mar 23, 2014, 01:29 AM
Mar 2014

Some DUers actually understand mathematics. This reads like woo-woo word salad.

Sorry.

On edit: interesting that this would be posted in Good Reads.

TlalocW

(15,374 posts)
2. Depends
Sun Mar 23, 2014, 01:38 AM
Mar 2014

On whether it's an African or European Swallow and how big the coconut that they're carrying is.

TlalocW

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