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What is the unconditional mathematical expected duration of a flight from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing?
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Friday Quiz. What is the unconditional mathematical expected duration between departure and time to destination between Kuala Lumpur and Beijing? How about a flight between Rio de Janeiro and Paris?
ANSWER: Infinite. A very tiny probability of crash makes the unconditional expectation infinite.
All other answers with finite duration are conditional on the plane eventually making it to destination.
Yesterday at 5:52am
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Friday Quiz. What is the unconditional mathematical expected duration between departure and time to destination between Kuala Lumpur and Beijing? How about a flight between Rio de Janeiro and Paris?
ANSWER: Infinite. A very tiny probability of crash makes the unconditional expectation infinite.
All other answers with finite duration are conditional on the plane eventually making it to destination.
Yesterday at 5:52am
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What is the unconditional mathematical expected duration of a flight from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing? (Original Post)
bananas
Mar 2014
OP
longship
(40,416 posts)1. Mortapror scorchestew! Monkey pancakes!
Some DUers actually understand mathematics. This reads like woo-woo word salad.
Sorry.
On edit: interesting that this would be posted in Good Reads.
TlalocW
(15,374 posts)2. Depends
On whether it's an African or European Swallow and how big the coconut that they're carrying is.
TlalocW
awoke_in_2003
(34,582 posts)3. Are you suggesting...
that coconuts are migratory?
Jim__
(14,063 posts)4. Sometimes the median is a better measure than the mean.
Loudly
(2,436 posts)5. So unconditionally, no flight can ever be late.
But what about my luggage?