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Related: About this forum10 Countries That May Not Survive The Next 20 Years
10 Countries That May Not Survive The Next 20 Years - The future is uncertain, some countries may not survive another two decades. Join us on our speculative list of 10 countries most likely to collapse within 20 years. *REMEMBER* this list is speculative, and just because a country may collapse in 20 years, doesn't mean that it will, or that we want it to. With that out of the way, enjoy! This video is drawm solely my opinion drawn from my personal knowledge, and is my own original work.
10. Spain
9. North Korea
8. Belgium
7. China
6. Iraq
5. Libya
4. The Islamic State
3. United Kingdom
2. United States
1. Maldives
Fantastic Anarchist
(7,309 posts)I'm not sure why he puts the US up at number two. Texas has a few blowhards that speak of succession. I can assure you, though, that the big cities are relatively progressive and do not yearn for independence. That's just a very vocal minority that speak such stupidity.
I can see a case for Spain, though. Even the United Kingdom if Scotland keeps it up, or if Wales starts a domino effect, however, they really have to determine if gaining independence will be worth the impact to their respective economies. I'm not seeing China breaking up in 20 years. Iraq is a failed and very fractured state, so I can see at the very least, a federated state with three autonomous regions. The Islamic State would and should fall, but the idea of such will probably remain forever - which is still dangerous. I'm not too versed on Belgium politics, but he did make a convincing and compelling argument, so I'll defer to the narrator and consider that a possibility, though I'd like to research further. Same with Libya. North Korea will probably get more belligerent as it starts to fracture, which is very dangerous. Maldives, poor Maldives. They face a very physical threat, not a political one, which may prove true that the country itself will be gone, but if a successful transfer can be made, the nation will continue to exist.
Very interesting video. Thanks for posting.
roguevalley
(40,656 posts)falls a billion and a half people who need food, shelter and something to do are going to Beijing and if they don't die of pollution rip the arms and legs off of their leadership. When they turn west and start walking, I think it will be all over but the shouting unless we change as one now.
Myrddin
(327 posts)If current reported trends, and polls, are accurate UK will vote to leave the EU at the up-coming referendum. This will trigger a predictable demand by Scotland for an immediate referendum for independence. It is likely that Northern Ireland and Wales will adopt a similar desire? Much of Northern England is politically, and ideologically, in agreement with Scotland, so they too might demand a split from the increasingly 1% friendly London and the Home Counties.
Fantastic Anarchist
(7,309 posts)Thank you for the information!
Myrddin
(327 posts)Fantastic Anarchist
(7,309 posts)Aren't the majority Unionist Protestants loyal to the UK crown? Or are you saying that would result in a paradigm shift which would unite both Catholics and Protestants.
Forgive my ignorance - legitimately interested as this sounds pretty fascinating to me.
WhoIsNumberNone
(7,875 posts)Warpy
(111,222 posts)and China is probably the most stable of the whole list. Iraq, Libya, the Islamic State will find themselves hard pressed to survive the next 20 years, nor should they, since the borders were all drawn by European imperialists without regard to sect or tribe, much more important considerations than arbitrary borders.
The Maldives aren't the only country risking being drowned out of existence, they're joined by a lot of Pacific island countries and by Bangladesh, which might have to face rejoining India in order to survive as most of that nation floods.
As for the US, the timing of the next economic meltdown will be a major consideration.
Paka
(2,760 posts)Unless climate change is addressed, Maldives is almost certain to disappear.
Fast Walker 52
(7,723 posts)definitely there's a decent case that the boundaries of these countries may change but they would still survive. Maldives is doomed altogether though.
Tab
(11,093 posts)Greece, in particular, has been fighting high unemployment, governmental defaults on loans, and seems to constantly be on the brink of economic collapse.
Plus, we have to figure out what to do with Puerto Rico - it's not technically a country, but it's problematic and we'll have to deal with it sooner than later in the next 20 years.
SCantiGOP
(13,867 posts)US #2?
And the UK might leave the EU but even if Scotland were to leave they would still be around.
4-6 aren't really modern nation-states anyway, and other than a few isolated succession movements I don't see the problem with Spain.
kickysnana
(3,908 posts)Many nationalities took up farming in SW Minnesota but the Belgians and Dutch are still there and prospering through everything.
These people destroyed their own dykes to keep the Spanish out and then rebuilt them. They stopped the Romans. They can be hit like anyone else but they will rise again.
SCantiGOP
(13,867 posts)and any split would be peaceful, but there is a real possibility the French and German-speaking halves of the country could decide to split, the same as Czechoslovakia did.