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Tue Oct 23, 2018, 07:41 PM

FL vote projection model - Day 12 - WTF are Democrats waiting on?

Effing get up and go vote!!!

https://thefloridasqueeze.com

14 replies, 1549 views

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Reply FL vote projection model - Day 12 - WTF are Democrats waiting on? (Original post)
OrlandoDem2 Oct 2018 OP
qazplm135 Oct 2018 #1
beachbum bob Oct 2018 #2
OrlandoDem2 Oct 2018 #3
hay rick Oct 2018 #4
Blue_true Oct 2018 #5
Dedzed Oct 2018 #6
Blue_true Oct 2018 #8
marble falls Oct 2018 #10
marble falls Oct 2018 #11
gopiscrap Oct 2018 #12
marble falls Oct 2018 #9
John Fante Oct 2018 #7
radical noodle Oct 2018 #13
Awsi Dooger Oct 2018 #14

Response to OrlandoDem2 (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 07:48 PM

1. are you freaking out over a model??

I mean I'm sure they are putting a lot of work into it, but it's a model, not the actual vote.

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Response to OrlandoDem2 (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 08:08 PM

2. Nothing to be concern about...not sure why the freak out

 

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Response to OrlandoDem2 (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 08:11 PM

3. Thank you both. I want to leave nothing to chance.

I am excited and nervous both at the same time.

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Response to OrlandoDem2 (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 08:36 PM

4. Early voting timing.

The article cites counties not reporting yet. Another factor not noted is that the early voting does not yet include any "souls to the polls" voting for the first and second Sundays. The last Sunday should give us a significant boost at the very end of early voting.

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Response to OrlandoDem2 (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 09:16 PM

5. One of my concerns is that too many Florida African American voters wait until Election Day to vote.

Almost anything can go wrong when voting comes down to a few hours on one day.

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Response to Blue_true (Reply #5)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 09:34 PM

6. I'm a little confused

Are you saying that if there isn't a large turnout in urban environments that it's African American voters fault?

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Response to Dedzed (Reply #6)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 09:45 PM

8. If people want change, they have to make sure their vote counts and get counted.

Anyone who does not do that is in fact a party to any victimization that happens to them. Republicans can't cheat and suppress voting by any group when republicans can't get elected.

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Response to Blue_true (Reply #8)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 10:01 PM

10. IF PoC want change? WTF? Victim blaming on DU?????? PoC caused Trump's election????

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Response to Dedzed (Reply #6)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 10:03 PM

11. No you aren't confused. He actually is blaming PoC for Trump.

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Response to Dedzed (Reply #6)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 11:52 PM

12. welcome to DU

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Response to Blue_true (Reply #5)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 09:58 PM

9. Are you a white guy signifying on how you think FL PoC don't vote correctly????

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Response to OrlandoDem2 (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2018, 09:42 PM

7. Hmm

Itís early days still, but all signs point to the Democrats performing well enough up and down I-95 to potentially win mutiple† top-of-ticket cabinet races for the first time in generation. The Democrats it bears repeating have lost 17 of the last 18 races for Governor and Cabinet†as well as losing 20 of the last 21 statewide races where Bill Nelson has not been the Democratic nominee. Nelson should be re-elected†if these trends hold and several other Democrats could win statewide.†

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Response to OrlandoDem2 (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2018, 02:31 AM

13. I vote on voting day

The polling place is nearer my home on voting day and it's never crowded. I have to go out of town to vote early. I promise I won't fail to vote and neither will my hubby.

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Response to OrlandoDem2 (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2018, 01:23 AM

14. Republicans are extremely well organized in this state

 

It is simply a fact. They maximize opportunity. That's why I don't believe any poll numbers giving Nelson a large lead and to lesser extent with Gillum ahead big.

Since November 2016 Republicans have registered more voters in Florida than Democrats have. That should not be possible with a president stuck in mid 30s to low 40s approval rating throughout. But I am not surprised at all, given what I witness on the ground in Miami every cycle.

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