Please keep an eye on Hurricane Dorian

[jpak]

Last edited Fri Aug 30, 2019, 11:12 PM - Edit history (1)

The long range Euro Model has it in the Gulf of Maine as a strong *very fast moving* CAT 1 hurricane (max winds 94 mph) making landfall near Eastport Sat night / Sun morning (Sept 8).

https://www.windy.com/?2019-09-08-06,42.852,-69.741,6

Eastport low tide Sat. night is at 12:22 AM and the next high tide is at 7:07 AM Sunday morning - fortunately, its a neap tide

https://www.usharbors.com/harbor/maine/eastport-me/tides?tide=2019-09#monthly-tide-chart

This is expected to be a very fast moving storm with little time to react to changes in track or time of landfall (high or low tide).

The Bay of Fundy is a funnel, with the world's highest tides - how this might influence any potential storm surge is ???????.

Hope I'm wrong, but right now I'm a bit spooked by this...

[jpak]

1. Dorian will be close by next weekend according to the latest models

Last edited Mon Sep 2, 2019, 11:37 AM - Edit history (1)

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL052019_wind_probs_34_F120+png/095412.png

CAT 1 hurricane

[jpak]

2. GFS model Sat morning

https://www.windy.com/?gfs,2019-09-07-09,45.375,-65.369,6

Euro model Sat noontime

https://www.windy.com/?2019-09-07-15,43.301,-65.632,6