Who do you think will win each party's primary in NY?

[Renew Deal]

For the Democrats, we are a party of contradictions. On the one hand, a Howard Dean endorsement is enough to win a primary for Bill De Blasio. On the other, Cuomo beat Teachout easily. Sanders is more credible and organized than Teachout. Are there enough Sanders votes in NYC? Is there any reason to believe that Sanders can beat Hillary in Brooklyn, Queens, and the Bronx?

Republicans in NY are either paleocons or chamber of commerce types. I can't imagine someone like Cruz winning in NY. Rubio seems like a better fit, but he's a loser. Would NY actually vote for a Trump? I know he's from here, but would working class republicans upstate and on Long Island vote for Trump? It's possible considering how terrifying Cruz is to all NYers.

[SummerSnow]

1. In live in NYC and in my opinion..

Staten Island will vote Republican as always. That's Trump land.Brooklyn will be half Hilary and half Bernie and most Democratic. Bernie will get the Jewish vote. Hilary will get the Latino vote. The African American vote will go to half Hilary and Bernie.Hilary will get Westchester county.Bernie will get Long Island and some will go to Donald.Upstate NY is a toss up.

[Ken Burch]

2. Whoever gets the most votes.

And you can QUOTE me on that!

Seriously, I think Trump is probably still a lock on the GOP side. Losing there would pretty much end it for him, destroying even the possibility of a third-party campaign in the fall(he might end up having to stump for a Palin/Nugent "Reale 'Murican Party" ticket).

[Renew Deal]

3. Trump has a lot of advantages in NY.

An one of them is Cruz being completely offensive to the state.

[Ken Burch]

4. It comes down, in many respects, to the power of the Catholic right in NY GOP politics

(the religious right in NY state, I think, is much more old-time Catholics than it is evangelicals).

Cruz could play up Trump's disrespectful comments about the Pope, and ask them if they really want to give their votes to a guy who's been divorced twice And those folks are probably just as "WTF?" (for different reasons, obviously)about Trump's abortion weirdness as we are.

Does Kasich have any drawing power in the Empire State? You'd think some of the oldtime blueblood money would go his way there, since he's the closest thing to a Bush still in the race.