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Thu May 30, 2019, 07:34 PM

Our latest Westminster voting intention has the Lib Dems in first place and the Brexit Party second

with Labour and the Tories pushed into third.

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Our latest Westminster voting intention has the Lib Dems in first place and the Brexit Party second place, with Labour and the Tories pushed into third:
Lib Dem - 24%
Brexit Party - 22%
Con - 19%
Labour - 19%
Green - 8%
UKIP - 1%
Change UK - 1%
Other - 6%

Lib Dems lead the polls as they start to become “the party of the 48%”

https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2019/05/30/lib-dems-lead-polls-they-start-become-party-48?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=website_article&utm_campaign=VI_29_May_2019











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Reply Our latest Westminster voting intention has the Lib Dems in first place and the Brexit Party second (Original post)
Celerity May 2019 OP
mwooldri May 2019 #1
Celerity May 2019 #2
LeftishBrit May 2019 #3
Celerity May 2019 #4

Response to Celerity (Original post)

Thu May 30, 2019, 09:42 PM

1. If this held to a General Election....

The Lib Dems would pick up an awful lot of seats from the Conservatives in the South and South East. In a lot of SE seats the Lib Dems typically ran 2nd place. Due to Westminsters First Past the Post system, the Tories would not have a wipeout but definitely would not have a majority. The present state of Labour would mean that they would not get a majority either. It would also depend on whether the Brexit Party properly contested a general election. If past history is an indicator of anything it is that incumbency really helps the Conservatives and Labour. UKIP never performed well at Westminster elections and my guess is that the Brexit Party may suffer a similar fate.

Were there to be a general election soon, the Lib Dems, the Greens and Change UK should form an electoral pact that the strongest candidate that could win that seat be supported and the other two parties either not field a candidate or file a paper candidate who is expected to lose their deposit.

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Response to mwooldri (Reply #1)

Thu May 30, 2019, 10:31 PM

2. I voted Lib Dem in my constituency (Kensington and Chelsea) for the MEP elections

My heart was with Change UK, but I voted strategically, and I think CUK will end up merging with the Lib Dems anyway, although Chuka Umunna only wants a pact not to stand against them, but Heidi Allen wants to go further and actually merge. It (the combined party) might take a new name, if they do merge. I hope they do and I also hope they pull a tonne of anti-Corbyn Labour MP's away. I am so sick of the state of Labour atm, I so partially blame a lot of them for Brexit.


The Lib Dems won a plurality in K & C:

https://www.rbkc.gov.uk/newsroom/all-council-statements/european-election-2019

The Remain parties took an absolute majority there

Party name

Number of votes cast

Animal Welfare Party 319
Change UK – The Independent Group 2,231
Conservative and Unionist Party 4,454
Green Party 3,014
Labour Party 4,662
Liberal Democrats 12,071
The Brexit Party 5,777
UK European Union Party (UKEUP) 270
UK Independence Party (UKIP) 444
Women’s Equality Party 232
Daze Aghaji 14
Roger Hallam, Independent 18
Alan Dennis Kirkby, Independent 2
Kofi Mawuli Klu, Independent 6
Zoe Delemere Lafferty, Independent 4
Claudia Mcdowell, Independent 9
Andrew Medhurst, Independent 7
Henry Muss, Independent 3
Mike Shad, Independent 6
Ian Sowden, Independent 3
Andrea Venzon 21

Total number of votes cast 33,567

Turnout 40.96%

Overall for London they won 3 seats

https://www.lewisham.gov.uk/EULondonResults2019

Party/individual candidate Number of votes

Animal Welfare Party 25,232
Change UK – The Independent Group 117,635
Conservative and Unionist Party 177,964
Green Party 278,957
Labour Party 536,810
Liberal Democrats 608,725
The Brexit Party 400,257
UK European Union Party (UKEUP) 18,806
UK Independence Party (UKIP) 46,497
Women’s Equality Party 23,766
Adaeze Chiamaka Nkemakonam Whitney Aghaji, commonly known as Daze Aghaji 1,018
Julian Roger Hallam, commonly known as Roger Hallam 924
Alan Dennis Kirkby 401
Kofi Mawuli Klu 869
Zoë Delemere Lafferty 436
Claudia Caitlin Mcdowell, commonly known as Claudia Mcdowell 1,036
Andrew Medhurst 430
Henry Muss 226
Mohammad Reza Farrokh Shad, commonly known as Mike Shad 707
Ian Sowden 254
Andrea Venzon 731

Number of ballot papers rejected
17,397

Electorate

Ballot papers issued
5,478,083

Turnout
41.3%


New MEP's

Seat Full name Commonly known as (if any) Party (if any)


1 Irina von Wiese Liberal Democrats
2 Claude Ajit Moraes Labour Party (The one in a row over Gibraltar's status)
3 Benyamin Naeem Habib The Brexit Party
4 Dinesh Dhamija Liberal Democrats
5 Scott John Ainslie Green Party
6 Sebastian Thomas Dance Seb Dance Labour Party
7 Luisa Manon Porritt Liberal Democrats
8 Lance Philip Anisfeld Lance Philip Forman The Brexit Party

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Response to Celerity (Original post)

Fri May 31, 2019, 12:33 PM

3. Bollocks to Brexit - and to the Brexit party!

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Response to LeftishBrit (Reply #3)

Fri May 31, 2019, 12:53 PM

4. I think it goes without saying that everyone in this group shares those exact same sentiments

Sod the fucking pro-Brexit Tories too (hell sod all the Tories after the Remainers vote, lol), and the pro-Brexit (stealth or open) radicals in Labour.

Fuck UKIP (whats left) too.

I truly hope Farage gets tossed in HM Prison Wandsworth for his goddamn lies on the Brexit savings.



Farage BANNED by No10 from meeting Trump during state visit claims Brexit Party leader

NIGEL Farage has claimed he has been banned by Number 10 from meeting Donald Trump during his state visit next week.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/1134647/nigel-farage-brexit-party-donald-trump-uk-visit-meeting-banned

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