Tue Dec 12, 2017, 12:45 PM

2017 AL US Senate Race- If Jones-D wins,- any chance his margin of victory will be like

Seigelman's -D margin of victory in the 1998 AL Governors Race against then sitting Republican Governor Fob James-R. Seigelman-D won the 1998 AL Governors Race by a 15.8 percent margin.
Could Jones-D win today's US Senate Election by a 55-40-5 percent margin?

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2 replies	Author	Time	Post
2017 AL US Senate Race- If Jones-D wins,- any chance his margin of victory will be like (Original post)	nkpolitics1212	Dec 2017	OP
It would take a tiny legal change	FBaggins	Dec 2017	#1
Jones could win big, but probably not that big	marylandblue	Dec 2017	#2

Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 12:50 PM

FBaggins (20,046 posts)

1. It would take a tiny legal change

If everyone in AL was required to announce who they voted for... then Jones would win by at least that much in the lowest turnout election in state history.

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Tue Dec 12, 2017, 12:53 PM

marylandblue (11,938 posts)

2. Jones could win big, but probably not that big

The difference between yesterday's Fox and Emerson polls was that Fox included cell phones, which means a lot more younger voters. If those young voters turn out in force, then Jones wins a decisive victory. Northam beat the polling average by six points.

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