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Mon Dec 18, 2017, 11:39 PM

2018 and 2020 US Senate Election Rating

2018
AZ(OPEN-Flake-R)Tossup Democratic (Sinema-D vs McSally-R), Lean Democratic(Sinema-D vs Ward-R)
CA(Feinstein-D) Solid Democratic
CT(Murphy-D) Solid Democratic
DE(Carper-D) Solid Democratic
FL(Nelson-D) Tossup/Lean Democratic if Scott-R runs, Lean/Likely Democratic if Scott-R doesn't run.
HI(Hirono-D) Solid Democratic
IN(Donnelly-D) Tossup Democratic
ME(King-I)Solid Independent
MD(Cardin-D)Solid Democratic
MA(Warren-D)Solid Democratic
MI(Stabenow-D)Solid Democratic
MN(Klobuchar-D)Solid Democratic
MN(Smith-D)Lean/Likely Democratic
MS(Wicker-R)Solid Republican with Wicker-R, Likely Republican with McDaniel-R.
MO(McCaskill-D)Tossup Democratic
MT(Tester-D)Lean/Likely Democratic
NE(Fischer-R)Solid Republican
NV(Heller-R)Tossup Democratic with Heller-R, Lean Democratic with Tarkanian-R
NJ(Menendez-D)Likely Democratic
NM(Heinrich-D)Solid Democratic
NY(Gillibrand-D)Solid Democratic
ND(Heitkamp-D)Lean Democratic
OH(Brown-D)Lean Democratic
PA(Casey-D)Likely Democratic
RI(Whitehouse-D)Solid Democratic
TN(OPEN-Corker-R)Lean Republican
TX(Cruz-R)Lean Republican
UT(Hatch-R)Solid Republican
VT(Sanders-I)Solid Independent
VA(Kaine-D)Likely Democratic
WA(Cantwell-D)Solid Democratic
WV(Manchin-D)Lean/Likely Democratic
WI(Baldwin-D)Likely Democratic
WY(Barrasso-R)Solid Republican
49D 49R 2I
2020
AL(Jones-D)Tossup Republican- depending on who the Republicans nominate.
AK(Sullivan-R) Lean Republican.
AZ Special- Tossup Democratic-depending on who the Democratic and Republican Nominee is.
AR(Cotton-R) Solid Republican
CO(Gardner-R) Lean Democratic
DE(Coons-D) Solid Democratic
GA(Perdue-R) Lean Republican
ID(Risch-R) Solid Republican
IL(Durbin-D) Solid Democratic
IA(Ernst-R) Lean Republican
KS(Roberts-R) Likely Republican- assuming Sebelius-D runs.
KY(McConnell-R) Likely Republican-assuming Beshear-D or Grimes-D run assuming they narrowly lose in the 2019 KY Governors Race.
LA(Cassidy-R) Solid Republican
ME(Collins-R) Likely Republican with Collins-R, Tossup Democratic without Collins-R
MA(Markey-D) Solid Democratic
MI(Peters-D) Likely Democratic
MN(Smith-D) Likely Democratic
MS(Cochran-R) Likely Republican- assuming Hood-D runs- assuming Hood-D narrowly loses in the 2019 MS Governors Race or Cochran-R retires or loses in the primary.
MT(Daines-R) Lean Republican without Bullock-D, Tossup Democratic with Bullock-D
NE(Sasse-R) Solid Republican
NH(Shaheen-D) Lean/Likely Democratic
NJ(Booker-D) Solid Democratic
NM(Udall-D) Solid Democratic
NC(Tillis-R) Tossup Democratic
OK(Inhofe-R) Lean/Likely Republican- assuming Henry-D or Boren-D run.
OR(Merkley-D) Solid Democratic
RI(Reed-D) Solid Democratic
SC(Graham-D) Lean/Likely Republican- Graham-R is a potential victim of a primary challenge plus a credible Democratic challenger.
SD(Rounds-R) Likely Republican- assuming Herseth Sandlin-D runs.
TN(Alexander-R) Solid Republican
TX(Cornyn-R) Lean Republican
VA(Warner-D) Likely Democratic
WV(Capito-R) Solid Republican
WY(Enzi-R) Likely Republican assuming Freudenthal-D runs.
51-54D 44-47R 2I- depending on what happens in AL,ME,and MT.



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