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nkpolitics1212

(8,617 posts)
Fri Apr 13, 2018, 10:21 PM Apr 2018

2020 and 2022 US Senate Election- Number of seats Democrats will gain or lose in both cycle?

2018
Best case scenario for Democrats-Hold onto every Democratic held seat up in 2018 and Pick up AZ(Sinema-D),NV(Rosen-D),and TN(Bredesen-D) +3D 52D 48R
Worse case scenario for Democrats- Lose IN(Donnelly-D),MO(McCaskill-D),and/or ND(Heitkamp) and Pick up AZ(Sinema-D) and/or NV(Rosen-D) -1D 48D 52R
2020
Best case scenario- Hold onto every Democratic held seat up in 2020 and Pick up
AK(Begich-D,Berkowitz-D,or French-D)
AZ special(Gallego-D,Kelly-D,Kirkpatrick-D,or Stanton-D)
CO(Hickenlooper-D,Johnston-D,Kennedy-D,Neguse-D, Perlmutter-D, Polis-D or Salazar-D)
GA(Abrams-D,Evans-D,Holcomb-D,or Reed-D)
IA(Boulton-D,Loebsack-D,or Vilsack-D)
KY- if McConnell-R retires(Beshear,Conway,Edelen,or Grimes-D)
ME- If Collins-R retires(Michaud-D or Pingree-D)
MS- If McDaniel-R is the incumbent( Baria-D,Childers-D,or Hood-D)
MT(Bullock-D,Cooney-D,or Schweitzer-D)
NC(Foxx-D,Jackson-D,Ross-D, or Stein-D)
TX- If Cornyn-R retires(Castro-D or O'Rourke-D)
+11D 59 to 63D/37R to 41R
Worse case scenario-Lose AL(Jones-D) and Pick up
AZ special,CO,ME-Open,and NC.
+3D 51 to 55D/45R 49R
2022- If Trump or Pence is President
Best case scenario for Democrats-Hold onto every Democratic held seat up in 2022 and Pick up
AK(Berkowitz-D or French-D)
FL(Graham-D or Murphy-D)
GA(Abrams-D,Evans-D,or Holcomb-D)
IA(Boulton-D or Finkenauer-D)
MO(Galloway-D or Kander-D)
NC(Foxx-D,Jackson-D, or Stein-D)
OH(Cordray-D,Ryan-D, or Sutton-D)
PA(Cartwright-D or Lamb-D)
WI(Bryce-D,Kind-D,or Pocan-D)
+9D 60 to 72D/28R to 40R
Worse case scenario for Democrats- Lose AZ and Pick up
FL,NC,PA,and WI.
+3D 54 to 66D/34R to 46R
2022- If a Democrat is President
Best case scenario-Hold onto every Democratic held seat up in 2022 and pick up
FL,NC,PA,and WI.
+4D 55 to 67D/33R to 45R
Worse case scenario-Lose AZ
-1D 50 to 62D/38R to 50R


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