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Mon May 21, 2018, 07:20 PM

10 US Senate seats likely to flip in 2018,2020,and 2022

2018
1)AZ(OPEN Flake-R)Lean Democratic
2)NV(Heller-R)Slight Democratic
3)TN(OPEN Corker-R)Tossup
4)ND(Heitkamp-D)Slight Democratic
5)IN(Donnelly-D)Slight Democratic
6)MO(McCaskill-D)Slight Democratic
7)FL(Nelson-D)Slight Democratic
8)WV(Manchin-D)Slight Democratic without Blankenship-C, Lean Democratic with Blankenship-C
9)MT(Tester-D)Lean Democratic
10)OH(Brown-D)Lean Democratic
+2 to +3D
2020
1)CO(Gardner-R)Likely Democratic(Hickenlooper-D),Lean Democratic(Perlmutter-D),Slight Democratic(the loser in the 2018 Democratic Primary for Governor)
2)AL(Jones-D)Slight Republican
3)NC(Tillis-R)Slight Democratic
4)AZ special(McCain replacement-R) Slight Democratic
5)ME(OPEN-Collins-R)Slight Democratic
6)MT(Daines-R)Slight Democratic with Bullock-D, Lean Republican without Bullock-D
7)IA(Ernst-R)Tossup with Vilsack-D or Loebsack-D
8)GA(Perdue-R)Slight Republican
9)NH(Shaheen-D)Lean Democratic
10)MI(Peters-D)Lean Democratic
+4 to +5D
2022
1)WI(OPEN Johnson-R)Lean Democratic
2)NC(OPEN Burr-R)Lean Democratic with McCready-D, Slight Democratic without McCready-D
3)PA(Toomey-R)Lean Democratic with Lamb-D, Slight Democratic without Lamb-D
4)IA(OPEN Grassley-R)Tossup with Finkenauer-D, Lean Republican without Finkenauer-D
5)GA(OPEN Isakson-R)Lean Republican
6)MO(Blunt-R)Lean Republican
7)AZ(Democratic Incumbent-D)Lean Democratic
8)NH(Hassan-D)Lean Democratic
9)NV(Cortez Mastro-D)Lean Democratic
10)CO(Bennet-D)Lean Democratic
+3D

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Reply 10 US Senate seats likely to flip in 2018,2020,and 2022 (Original post)
nkpolitics1212 May 2018 OP
andytheteacher May 2018 #1
bearsfootball516 May 2018 #2
nkpolitics1212 May 2018 #3
vercetti2021 May 2018 #4

Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Mon May 21, 2018, 07:27 PM

1. This feels optimistic

 

I would hope you are right, especially if we still have a GOP president. But a 60 vote filibuster proof majority by 2022? I won't hold my breath.

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Response to andytheteacher (Reply #1)

Mon May 21, 2018, 07:36 PM

2. It's rather optimistic.

Like listing Doug Jones' seat in Alabama as Slight Republican. I love what Doug Jones did last December, but as long as he isn't running against a child molester in 2020, the Republican will likely win by double digits.

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Response to bearsfootball516 (Reply #2)

Mon May 21, 2018, 08:50 PM

3. Is Doug Jones(D-AL) the Democratic version of Mark Kirk(R-IL)?

Mark Kirk(R-IL) was elected in Solid Democratic Illinois in 2010 against a tarnished Democratic opponent. In 2016, Kirk(R-IL) lost re-election by a 15 percent margin against a sitting Democratic US House member.
Could Doug Jones(D-AL) lose re-election in 2020 by a double digit margin against a non controversial top tier Republican challenger?

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Mon May 21, 2018, 08:57 PM

4. I think Beto can win

He's busting his ass

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