Mon Oct 3, 2022, 08:15 PM

Democrats guide to 52 US Senate seats after the 2022 US Senate Elections.

37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)OR(Wyden-D
42)IL(Duckworth-D)
43)CT(Blumenthal-D)
44)VT(Welch-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)
50)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
51)OH(Ryan-D)
52)GA runoff(Warnock-D)

GA will keep Democrats in the majority.
NV and OH gives Democrats 52 seats needed to avoid Sinema and Manchin.
NV,NC,OH,and WI are in the Tilt Democratic column. Democrats need to win at least 2 of these states to give Democrats 52 seats.

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8 replies	Author	Time	Post
Democrats guide to 52 US Senate seats after the 2022 US Senate Elections. (Original post)	nkpolitics1212	Oct 2022	OP
Fingers crossed	Turbineguy	Oct 2022	#1
Reading polls on Realclearpolitics.com doesn't look that optimistic. Hope you are correct	Raven123	Oct 2022	#2
RCP is pretty right leaning..I wouldn't put too much into their polling	PortTack	Oct 2022	#3
I get my information from 538.	nkpolitics1212	Oct 2022	#5
Sorry but they aren't that accurate either	PortTack	Oct 2022	#8
I read the polls from 538.	nkpolitics1212	Oct 2022	#4
Is 538 usually more accurate?	Raven123	Oct 2022	#7
Nope on NV, OH, GA and maybe PA as the tax issues are hitting hard. ny	kelly1mm	Oct 2022	#6

Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Mon Oct 3, 2022, 08:21 PM

Turbineguy (35,833 posts)

1. Fingers crossed

I Hope. And have hope.

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Mon Oct 3, 2022, 08:40 PM

Raven123 (3,941 posts)

2. Reading polls on Realclearpolitics.com doesn't look that optimistic. Hope you are correct

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Response to Raven123 (Reply #2)

Mon Oct 3, 2022, 08:53 PM

PortTack (29,117 posts)

3. RCP is pretty right leaning..I wouldn't put too much into their polling

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Response to PortTack (Reply #3)

Mon Oct 3, 2022, 09:18 PM

nkpolitics1212 (7,889 posts)

5. I get my information from 538.

Democrats will definitely have 50 seats if we just include
45)WA
46)CO
47)NH
48)AZ
49)PA
50)GA Warnock either wins in November or December.
The 51st and 52nd seat is going to be
NV,NC,OH,and/or WI.

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Reply #5)

Tue Oct 4, 2022, 05:17 PM

PortTack (29,117 posts)

8. Sorry but they aren't that accurate either

I always look at your posts and appreciate them. You might find this article enlightening

https://www.commondreams.org/views/2019/10/30/nate-silver-making-he-goes

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Response to Raven123 (Reply #2)

Mon Oct 3, 2022, 09:13 PM

nkpolitics1212 (7,889 posts)

4. I read the polls from 538.

Democrats are going end up with 50 seats if we only count the seats we will definitely win.
This includes
45)WA
46)CO
47)NH
48)AZ
49)PA
50)GA- Warnock wins either in November or December.

51 and 52 seats will be NV,NC,OH,and/or WI.

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Reply #4)

Tue Oct 4, 2022, 07:29 AM

Raven123 (3,941 posts)

7. Is 538 usually more accurate?

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Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)

Mon Oct 3, 2022, 10:31 PM

kelly1mm (4,413 posts)

6. Nope on NV, OH, GA and maybe PA as the tax issues are hitting hard. ny

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