Mon Oct 31, 2022, 07:04 AM
nkpolitics1212 (7,792 posts)
How progressive or neutral is the NYT Sienna poll?
AZ Kelly-D +6 (51-45)
GA Warnock-D +3 (49-46) NV Cortez Masto-D tie (47-47) PA Fetterman-D +6 (50-44) The PA poll has been taken between 10/24 to 10/26). A day before to a day after the debate.
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6 replies, 860 views
Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
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Author | Time | Post |
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nkpolitics1212 | Oct 2022 | OP |
Lovie777 | Oct 2022 | #1 | |
FBaggins | Oct 2022 | #2 | |
Joe Cool | Oct 2022 | #3 | |
gab13by13 | Oct 2022 | #4 | |
Joe Cool | Oct 2022 | #5 | |
PortTack | Oct 2022 | #6 |
Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)
Mon Oct 31, 2022, 07:07 AM
Lovie777 (7,097 posts)
1. Likely voters to registered voters? .....
Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)
Mon Oct 31, 2022, 07:22 AM
FBaggins (25,485 posts)
2. They have an excellent track record
No point in arguing whether they lean left/right politically. I would suspect left, but their historical polls don't show it.
They have had some big misses in recent years, but in both directions |
Response to nkpolitics1212 (Original post)
Mon Oct 31, 2022, 07:26 AM
Joe Cool (401 posts)
3. I'm in western Pennsylvania
I’m in Butler County which has a 27% GOP registration advantage. There is zero enthusiasm for Oz except among the hardcore GOP. Fetterman is a sort of folk hero in PA and people who actually live here know it. An unenthusiastic vote counts the same as an enthusiastic vote but I just can’t see a significant amount of people voting for Oz simply due to Fetterman’s speech issues. Everyone knows Oz is a slimy snake oil salesman.
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Response to Joe Cool (Reply #3)
Mon Oct 31, 2022, 07:32 AM
gab13by13 (14,724 posts)
4. I'm from central Pa. amongst the magats
I see Fetterman signs where I never saw signs before.
Fetterman is going to win Pa. I know because the Magats are telling me he is going to win. Why would Magats be planning to accuse Philadelphia of voter fraud if Oz was going to win? All of this hand wringing over Fetterman just makes me laugh. Polls are done for propaganda. |
Response to gab13by13 (Reply #4)
Mon Oct 31, 2022, 07:40 AM
Joe Cool (401 posts)
5. Exactly
Two things stand out to me about the signage I have seen in central and southern Butler County. First, the Republican signs are where they normally are and aren’t anywhere new. Democratic signs are everywhere. I have never seen so many Democratic signs in my life in Butler County (27% GOP voter registration advantage) and in places where I have never seen them before. If yard signs are any indication of voting then Shapiro and Fetterman will win in blowouts (at least +5%).
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Response to Joe Cool (Reply #3)
Mon Oct 31, 2022, 11:21 AM
PortTack (28,663 posts)
6. I saw a story about Fetterman when first in office, found out that a former neighbor had his
Utilities turned off so he showed up at their door with a wood burning stove. No fan fair no press, just here ya go..heard you were in need. He has that kindness in his heart…it’s what makes this country great
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