What would the outcome of the 2026 US Senate Election be is Biden/Harris-D is in the WH?
Republicans will win-
AL(Tuberville-R)
AK(Sullivan-R)
AR(Cotton-R)
ID(Risch-R or Fulcher-R)
IA(Ernst-R)
KS(Marshall-R)
KY(McConnell-R or Barr-R)
LA(Cassidy-R)
MS(Hyde Smith-R)
MT(Daines-R)
NE(Sasse-R)
OK(McMullin-R winner of the 2022 special.)
SC(Graham-R)
SD(Rounds-R)
TN(Hagerty-R)
WV(Moore Capito-R)
WY(Lummis-R)
Democrats will win
CO(Hickenlooper-D or Neguse-D)
Neguse-D will be the 1st black US Senator from CO.
DE(Coons-D)
GA(Ossoff-D)
IL(Durbin-D or Krishnamoorthi-D)
Krishnamoorthi-D will be the 1st Indian US Senator from IL.
MA(Markey-D or Pressley-D)
MI(Peters-D)
MN(Smith-D)
NJ(Booker-D)
NM(Ray Lujan-D)
OR(Merkley-D)
RI(Reed-D or Ciciline-D)
VA(Warner-D)
Tossup
ME(Collins-R) Republican victory.
ME(OPEN Collins-R) Democratic victory(Golden-D)
NH(Shaheen-D) Democratic victory.
NH(OPEN Shaheen-D) Sununu-R vs Pappas-D
NC(Tillis-D vs Jackson-D)
NC will have a black female US Senator in 2022(Beasley-D) so Smith-D will not be the Democratic nominee.
TX(Cornyn-R) Republican victory.
TX(OPEN Cornyn-R) Allred-D
