STATE OF THE PRIMARY - April 19, 2016 (Big Apple Edition)

[Chichiri]

49 Days to California


Delegate Count


Pledged Delegates: Clinton 1,305, Sanders 1,099 (Clinton +206).
Total Delegates: Clinton 1,774, Sanders 1,130 (Clinton +644).
2,382 delegates to secure nomination.
2,026 pledged delegates to secure the majority.
Clinton needs 721 pledged delegates, 43.8% of remaining.
Sanders needs 927 pledged delegates, 56.3% of remaining.


Latest Results

Wyoming: Sanders 7, Clinton 7 (tie).
Versus 3/30 Targets: Sanders 7/11 (-4), Clinton 7/3 (+4).
Versus Adjusted Targets: N/A


Next Primary: TODAY

New York: 247 delegates.
3/30 Targets: Sanders 128, Clinton 119.
Adjusted Targets: Sanders 128, Clinton 119.



Comments
Where the hell have I been?

I started my new job this week. It would take a long time for me to explain what a big deal this is for me, and you have more important things to think about. Like New York! But as I said earlier, expect more sporadicity from SotP from now on.

Hillary is widely favored to win New York tonight -- which, Sanders fans will gleefully note, gives him a chance to pull off another Michigan. On the one hand, no one who's been paying attention can deny that Bernie's overall numbers are on the rise; had some earlier states voted today, she might not have done as well. (Or, considering the demographics, she might have; Nate Silver tried to run a retrogression, but there are just too many unknowns.) On the other hand, it's a closed primary in a state that loves Hillary.

Like you, I'm anxious to see how it will turn out. Keep your fingers crossed.


How This Works
Unless otherwise indicated, all information is taken from FiveThirtyEight except the superdelegate count, which is taken from Associated Press. Superdelegates have declared their intention to vote for one of the candidates, but may change their mind before the convention. The target numbers indicate how many delegates each candidate would have to earn, or to have, in order to be on track to tie for the nomination. Adjusted targets further indicate how many delegates are needed to make up the deficit, if any, left by previous contests.


Pun Of The Day
No wonder my geometry students were so tired; they were out of shape!

[Thinkingabout]

1. K & R, thanks for sharing. Always look forward to your information, tells where we have been and

where we are going.

[NastyRiffraff]

2. Thanks Chichiri

Best of luck with your new job. I've got the popcorn and beer out for tonight!