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Tue May 24, 2016, 10:27 AM

Delegate math: How Clinton wraps up nomination by June 7

Source: AP, Hope Yen

WINNING A MAJORITY OF PLEDGED DELEGATES

Because of Clinton's big lead, Sanders must flip her superdelegates if he hopes to reach 2,383.

But first, in order to sway them, Sanders will have to win a majority of pledged delegates from primaries and caucuses, his senior strategist Tad Devine has acknowledged. Superdelegates have never before lifted a candidate to the nomination when he or she trailed in the number of pledged delegates.

"I know that it is a steep road," Sanders said at a recent campaign rally, "but if we do very, very well in New Mexico, California and the other states on June 7, my hope is that we end this process with 50 percent plus one of the pledged delegates."

Sanders is far behind on that front.

Clinton is on an easy path to reach 2,026 pledged delegates - or more than half the 4,051 total - on June 7. She will get there even if she loses solidly in all six states.

Sanders needs more than 67 percent of the remaining pledged delegates to overtake her, requiring landslide victories.

Read the rest of the math at: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/U/US_DEM_2016_DELEGATE_FIGHT?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT

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Reply Delegate math: How Clinton wraps up nomination by June 7 (Original post)
yallerdawg May 2016 OP
Thinkingabout May 2016 #1
yallerdawg May 2016 #2
Cha May 2016 #3
yallerdawg May 2016 #4
Cha May 2016 #5
SunSeeker May 2016 #6
anotherproletariat May 2016 #7

Response to yallerdawg (Original post)

Tue May 24, 2016, 10:36 AM

1. Hey, it is in the math, she will have the math, it is on her side, has been on her side for a while.

She will gather lagniappe and the numbers will not leave any doubt she has this. Also, there about 150 SD's, she will probably get all and perhaps have some of the SD's which endorsed Sanders.

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Response to Thinkingabout (Reply #1)

Tue May 24, 2016, 10:44 AM

2. It's over.

From the link:

Clinton is 78 delegates short.

In the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, Clinton is likely to grab around 40 delegates. That will leave her shy by more than 30, heading into June 7.

With 126 pledged delegates at stake, New Jersey offers Clinton more than what she needs to clinch - even if she were to lose the state.

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Response to yallerdawg (Original post)

Tue May 24, 2016, 10:45 AM

3. Thank you, yallerdawg!

REACHING 2,383

After a strong April finish that put her 91 percent of the way to the nomination, Clinton was slowed by a lighter primary schedule and wins by Sanders in Indiana, West Virginia and Oregon. She still picked up more than 45 percent of the delegates at stake in May. That's because Democrats award delegates in proportion to the vote, so the loser receives some.

Clinton is 78 delegates short.

In the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, Clinton is likely to grab around 40 delegates. That will leave her shy by more than 30, heading into June 7.

With 126 pledged delegates at stake, New Jersey offers Clinton more than what she needs to clinch - even if she were to lose the state.

Also voting June 7, in order of poll close times: North Dakota, South Dakota, New Mexico, Montana and California. A total of 694 delegates are up for grabs.

Can't wait until she makes her Pledged Delegate goal!


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Response to Cha (Reply #3)

Tue May 24, 2016, 11:00 AM

4. I just hope you can use your immense influence...

to convince the 'powers that be' to end the DU primary season when the voting is done - June 7 (if we're not relying on realistic math NOW).

Conventions are just a TV show. We have no reason to wait until the end of July (neither does Bernie)!

Good luck, Cha!

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Response to yallerdawg (Reply #4)

Tue May 24, 2016, 11:08 AM

5. Ha! You kid!

I absolutely have no influence anywhere.

Sorry!.. they'll just have to do it when they do it. I would think, though, when she reaches her pledged delegates and leaves burnie even more in the dust that tptb would call it.

We shall see.. it won't be long now.

The best I can do..

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Response to yallerdawg (Original post)

Tue May 24, 2016, 11:48 AM

6. It's all over but the shouting. nt

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Response to SunSeeker (Reply #6)

Tue May 24, 2016, 11:51 AM

7. And unfortunately, we need to brace for plenty of that... nt

 

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