Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumWhy Bernie Sanders Still Doesn’t Pose a Critical Threat to Hillary Clinton
By Jamelle Bouie
... the rapid rise of Sandersand the pointed attacks from Clintonobscure the extent to which the overall state of the race hasnt changed. Clinton is still the favorite for the nomination, even as her path gets a little rockier and a little more difficult. And the reason isnt hard to understand.
Take the recent Monmouth University poll of the Democratic race. Between December and January, Clinton lost her lead with white Democrats. Indeed, it vanished, dropping 23 points. Now, shes tied with Sanders, 43 percent to 43 percent. But shes grown her lead with black and Latino Democrats, winning 71 percent to 21 percent for the Vermont senator, up from 61 percent in January.
This lead with black and Latino Democrats isnt just responsible for Clintons margin in national pollingwhere she outpaces Sanders by an average of 13 pointsits responsible for her massive lead in the South Carolina primary, where black voters predominate and where Clinton crushes Sanders with an average margin of 40 points (although theres been little polling in the state since the new year).
Which gets to a broader, more important point. Minority votersand black Americans in particularare the firewall for Clintons candidacy and the Democratic establishment writ large. As long as Clinton holds her lead with black Democrats, shes tough (if not impossible) to beat in delegate-rich states like New York, New Jersey, Illinois, Ohio, and Texas. Even with momentum from wins in Iowa and New Hampshire, its hard to see how Sanders overcomes Clintons massive advantage with this part of the partys electorate . Thats not to say he wont excel as an insurgent candidate, but thatbarring a seismic shift among black Democrats, as well as Latinoshis coalition wont overcome her coalition.
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/01/hillary_clinton_s_ties_to_black_democrats_will_save_her_campaign_from_bernie.html
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)She has Obama's people running her ground game (as real Democrats help fellow real Democrats).
Also, the Monmouth poll says she gained 10 points with various minority groups.
Clearly, they are not buying the Bernonsense.
SunSeeker
(51,502 posts)Treant
(1,968 posts)was not a smart move. But it was a desperation move.
Iowa's notoriously hard to estimate (NH isn't that easy, either). I think she's got it in IA and loses NH by a considerable margin, but really, any outcome won't surprise me given past performance of every primary in those two states.
Post that? There's no way Bernie's going anywhere in SC, so the worst case is two insufferable weeks at DU.
underthematrix
(5,811 posts)and dumping on PP when the Repugs are trying to DEFUND PP and take away women's healthcare choices just shows how out of touch Bernie really is.
Dawson Leery
(19,348 posts)that Planned Parenthood does something good for women.
The attack fits right in with the Berniebros sexism.
underthematrix
(5,811 posts)underthematrix
(5,811 posts)#BernieSandersPanders
I wanted to post the tweet in another thread but all I could do was post a link https://twitter.com/southerntalker/status/690045609483583488?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
I wish I could post the image in response to another post but I don't know how. I tried but didn't work.
SunSeeker
(51,502 posts)underthematrix
(5,811 posts)SunSeeker
(51,502 posts)When you see an image like that on twitter, just right click on it with your mouse, and select "Save Picture As" from the drop down menu and save it to your desktop.
Then you have to go to photobucket.com (or similar site) and upload it, after setting up an account there (it's free). Once you upload the picture to photobucket.com, the site gives it a url file name that is basically a website link. You copy that link into your DU post and the picture magically appears in your post. To make sure the link works, just hit the Preview button to see how it looks before hitting the "Post my reply!" button.
underthematrix
(5,811 posts)Response to SunSeeker (Original post)
Name removed Message auto-removed
underthematrix
(5,811 posts)I just tweeted link to post
Tarheel_Dem
(31,220 posts)would think it's okay to make that post anywhere on DU, especially in this group.
underthematrix
(5,811 posts)HRC is doing great. The more they attack the better.
SunSeeker
(51,502 posts)No way is an n-word laced racist rant going to be allowed to stand on DU, nor should it.
underthematrix
(5,811 posts)Last edited Thu Jan 21, 2016, 05:11 PM - Edit history (1)
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)to blast hate. Or possibly a regular hiding behind a different name. The hostile tone was typical of what we see so much of in GD-P, but the wording was definitely that of someone who didn't mind immediate banning.