Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumIowa poll: Hillary Clinton 51%..Bernie Sanders 43%
Iowa poll: Hillary Clinton 51%..Bernie Sanders 43%
BREAKING #iacaucus poll results: Democratic Top 3: @HillaryClinton: 51% @BernieSanders: 43% @MartinOMalley: 4% #EmersonPoll
9:31 PM - 31 Jan 2016
https://mobile.twitter.com/EmersonPolling/status/694030260841619456

Cha
(308,761 posts)"3%" difference?
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)can also be seen as a 4 point swing in the other directions, plus 4 for Hillary, minus 4 for Sanders.
That turns the 3 point difference into 11 points - and not a tie at all!
Tarheel_Dem
(31,443 posts)
BainsBane
(55,719 posts)It's important not to take anything but granted. Hillary definitely isn't. If you can manage it, contact your local Clinton campaign office to see if there is anything you can do to help, like make calls to Iowa.
It all comes down to turnout, which means getting our supporters to their caucus sites. The blizzard isn't expected to hit until after midnight, so they should be able to go and return from the caucus safely.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)I just ran across this on the internets and brought it here.
Take nothing for granted Hillary folks.
GOTV like there's no tomorrow if you are in a position to do so!
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)Treant
(1,968 posts)But it seems rather unlikely. My personal guess is still Hillary +2, Trump +5, but neither a slight Sanders nor a slight Cruz win would surprise me.
It all comes down to turnout...
gyroscope
(1,443 posts)I think I'll go with the DMR gold standard poll of polls, which this one wildly diverts from.
Cha
(308,761 posts)pandr32
(12,753 posts)...and now it is up to actual turnout. A blizzard expected...yikes!
asuhornets
(2,427 posts)Hillary will be in the 50 percentile.