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OK...what will the threshold be for a virtual tie after SC and Super Tuesday? (Original Post) LexVegas Feb 2016 OP
Nate Silver is thinking of changing the margin of error to plus/minus 25 George II Feb 2016 #1
According to Bernie's surrogates on CNN A bit ago vdogg Feb 2016 #2
As long as one person votes for Bernie 72DejaVu Feb 2016 #3
meh DemonGoddess Feb 2016 #4
Whatever the results actually are, Treant Feb 2016 #5
Anything under 20 points obamanut2012 Feb 2016 #6
The longer the conflict, the higher the ratings. Chichiri Feb 2016 #7
I've seen a lot of people say BillyDawg Feb 2016 #8

vdogg

(1,384 posts)
2. According to Bernie's surrogates on CNN A bit ago
Sat Feb 27, 2016, 10:19 AM
Feb 2016

They said if they can get it within 10 they'll consider it a sort of victory.

DemonGoddess

(4,640 posts)
4. meh
Sat Feb 27, 2016, 10:20 AM
Feb 2016

that's because they don't do math ya know. Getting within 10 points is still a loss. I don't see him getting anywhere near that margin, to be frank.

Treant

(1,968 posts)
5. Whatever the results actually are,
Sat Feb 27, 2016, 11:06 AM
Feb 2016

plus about 5, of course. So even if she wins by 30, she would have needed 35 to actually "win."

I'm personally estimating about Clinton +22, so a virtual tie will be Clinton +27 if I'm correct.

Chichiri

(4,667 posts)
7. The longer the conflict, the higher the ratings.
Sat Feb 27, 2016, 02:09 PM
Feb 2016

All non-commercial media are either firmly pro-Bernie, or have already started looking forward to the general.

 

BillyDawg

(82 posts)
8. I've seen a lot of people say
Sat Feb 27, 2016, 02:12 PM
Feb 2016

Under 20 points would be considered a good day. I know I was on record saying New Hampshire would have been good for Hillary is she got it under 10 -- and I really do think that applies for Bernie today too -- but to set the bar at 20 is insane.

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