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book_worm

(15,951 posts)
Tue Mar 1, 2016, 06:59 PM Mar 2016

Some exit poll results...

Now here's a summary of where we seeing in the Democratic contests across states, grouped by key themes.

Race: While not reaching their levels in South Carolina a few days ago, black voters in make up half the electorate in Georgia and Alabama, dropping to roughly a quarter in Virginia, Arkansas and Tennessee and in the teens in Oklahoma and Texas. Hispanic voters are prominent only in Texas, where they account for three in 10 voters in preliminary results. In Vermont and Massachusetts, by contrast, whites account for nearly all voters.

Race relations: More primary voters in most of today’s Southern states think race relations have gotten worse (between four in 10 to half) in the last few years than say they’re better (a third to four in 10). And more voters generally say they trust Clinton rather than Sanders to handle the problem (seven in 10 to eight in 10 vs. half to three-quarters).

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-super-tuesday-democratic-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=37308989

14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Some exit poll results... (Original Post) book_worm Mar 2016 OP
Kick & recommended. William769 Mar 2016 #1
Massachusetts... book_worm Mar 2016 #2
Oklahoma... book_worm Mar 2016 #3
MA exits are troubling vdogg Mar 2016 #4
From NBC: book_worm Mar 2016 #5
These look good vdogg Mar 2016 #7
Fewer Indies and more seniors... book_worm Mar 2016 #6
Black turnout in key states book_worm Mar 2016 #8
Clinton far ahead in six states, Bernie in one and four others are close book_worm Mar 2016 #9
According to Maddow vdogg Mar 2016 #10
That's too bad. Well, we will see. book_worm Mar 2016 #11
This could be just setting expectations for a close result vdogg Mar 2016 #12
The polling was way off in Mass vdogg Mar 2016 #13
Spoke too soon vdogg Mar 2016 #14

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
2. Massachusetts...
Tue Mar 1, 2016, 07:01 PM
Mar 2016

Massachusetts

In Massachusetts, seven in 10 voters are liberals in preliminary exit poll results, including three in 10 who are “very” liberal, higher than in today’s Southern states and similar to their levels in Vermont. If this holds in later data, it’ll be a record high for liberal turnout in a Massachusetts Democratic primary.

Nonwhite voters account for just more than one in 10 Democratic primary voters in Massachusetts today, much lower than their turnout across today’s seven Southern states. Only three-quarters want the next president to be an insider, lower than in most of today’s other states. More voters here think Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy than say the same about Hillary Clinton (more than eight in 10 vs. just more than half).

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-super-tuesday-democratic-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=37308989

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
3. Oklahoma...
Tue Mar 1, 2016, 07:02 PM
Mar 2016

In Oklahoma, black voters account for only slightly more than one in 10 Democratic primary voters in preliminary exit poll results, far below their level among other Southern states voting today. Again more voters here think Sanders is honest and trustworthy than say the same about Clinton (seven in 10 vs. half). Four in 10 voters want the next president to continue Barack Obama’s policies, lower than all other states today save Vermont and Massachusetts. A third want to change to more liberal policies.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-super-tuesday-democratic-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=37308989

vdogg

(1,384 posts)
4. MA exits are troubling
Tue Mar 1, 2016, 07:05 PM
Mar 2016

They are counterintuitive with the polling posted earlier today. Still, it's early and it may be a small sample size.

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
5. From NBC:
Tue Mar 1, 2016, 07:10 PM
Mar 2016

Early exit poll data showed that 52 percent of Democratic voters in Tennessee wanted more liberal policies from a new president, with that number coming in at 46 percent in Oklahoma and 43 percent in Vermont, NBC News reported. Overall, 51 percent of Democratic voters said they wanted the next president to continue Barack Obama's policies, while 31 percent said they wanted more liberal policies.

In Virginia, 74 percent of voters who identified as black said they would like the next president to continue Obama's policies, while 17 percent said they wanted more liberal policies, according to NBC News. Among white voters, 53 percent said they wanted a continuation of Obama's policies, while 35 percent said they wanted more liberal ones.

http://www.cnbc.com/2016/03/01/super-tuesday-democratic-results-latest-news.html

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
6. Fewer Indies and more seniors...
Tue Mar 1, 2016, 07:13 PM
Mar 2016

Party: Other than Vermont and Massachusetts, far fewer independents are turning out in the Southern states today than did so in New Hampshire, the only state Bernie Sanders has won so far. They make up between two in 10 and a quarter of voters in the Southern states, vs. more than seven in 10 who are mainline Democrats, Clinton’s bread and butter to date.

Age: First-time primary goers are far outnumbered by primary veterans across today’s contests. Relatedly, turnout among under 30s ranges between one in 10 to two in 10 in preliminary exit poll data, generally much lower than turnout among seniors.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-super-tuesday-democratic-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=37308989

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
9. Clinton far ahead in six states, Bernie in one and four others are close
Tue Mar 1, 2016, 07:29 PM
Mar 2016

In the Democratic race, Clinton is far ahead in six states, while Sanders has a large lead in his home state of Vermont. The two face a close election in four other states

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/271386-early-exit-polls-dems-prefer-experience-gop-want-an

vdogg

(1,384 posts)
12. This could be just setting expectations for a close result
Tue Mar 1, 2016, 07:47 PM
Mar 2016

They said the same thing in Nevada and we won by 6 points. Here's hoping. First. 3 states will be called quickly, 2 for us and 1 for Bernie.

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