Any ideas about how the final delegate breakdown will be?

[sweetloukillbot]

Talking pledged only here. I see Hillary at 526 but it still looks like there are around 200 to be allotted. Any ideas how that will break down? What the totals will look like?

[TheDormouse]

1. USAToday has a piece

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/03/01/sen-bernie-sanders-says-super-tuesday-success-hinges-turnout/81165606/

[TheDormouse]

2. looking at that graphic, Hillary's edge isn't quite so impressive

as the talking heads and the boosters here would lead you to believe

[shenmue]

4. Enjoy your stay

This is the Clinton group.

[sweetloukillbot]

3. Those are roughly the numbers I'm seeing

But Texas for example has 222 delegates, but only 165 pledged so far. Georgia has 102, but only 88 pledged so far.
I remember Texas had some funny thing with a simultaneous caucus last time (that Obama won) but I haven't heard anything about that this year. Of course the whole calendar is running a month later than last year as well.

[UrbScotty]

5. Ah yes, the "Texas two-step"

They got rid of that this year.

http://frontloading.blogspot.com/2015/06/two-step-is-out-for-texas-democrats-in.html

[MSMITH33156]

6. They are still counting

But Steve Kornacki on MSNBC did back of the envelope calculations on what they should be. I'm just sticking to pledged delegates.

There were 865 pledged delegates at stake, and Kornacki estimated:

Clinton: 525
Sanders: 340

What were the expectations? This thread from earlier had 538 level setting:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/110760960

I encourage clicking that link, because it gives ranges, but the dumbed down version was that the Bernie supporters were correct that this playing field was more favorable to Hillary. Hillary's target was 435, Sanders was 412.

Obviously, Hillary did significantly better that necessary, and Sanders came up short.

538 did another analysis of demographics, and expected vote share to get half the delegates today, Clinton was +16.