NYT: Bernie's path to victory is all but blocked.

[Chichiri]

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/02/upshot/sanders-campaign-will-travel-on-but-path-to-victory-is-all-but-blocked.html?smid=fb-share&_r=

Mr. Sanders, despite pockets of strength, has not fared well enough to overcome such a huge deficit among black voters.

Not even a few feel-good wins in states like Colorado, Minnesota and Oklahoma will change that. Mr. Sanders would have needed big wins in these states — by much more than 20 percentage points — to entertain the possibility of overcoming his enormous deficit in the South, where the majority of Democrats are African-American.

Mrs. Clinton is on track to win nearly 80 percent of the vote in Alabama, more than 70 percent in Georgia, and more than 60 percent in Virginia, Tennessee, Arkansas and Texas. Mr. Sanders cannot make up for routs in the South with slight wins in the North. He needs landslides to counter landslides; he doesn’t have them.

(...)

But perhaps most striking is that Mr. Sanders failed to win in Massachusetts — a notably liberal state next to Vermont with a relatively small black share of the vote. Massachusetts residents had the chance to see many of the ads aired by the Sanders campaign for New Hampshire, which is covered by the Boston media market. If Mr. Sanders can’t win big in a place like Massachusetts, it is hard to come up with many places where he can.

[Lucinda]

1. KNR Thank you!

[Cha]

2. I want it Blocked Blocked Blocked!

[Thinkingabout]

3. I would love to see the next big election day results,

Yes, I know, dont get pushy, but interested to see the goal realized.

[Her Sister]

4. great recap!

yeah! what happened in Massachussetts!!??

[Treant]

5. So far?

It seems that Sanders can take smaller (generally caucus) states, with some exceptions (Iowa being one, New Hampshire being another--which is smaller, but Primary).

Clinton's strengths are larger states, Primary states (again, with exceptions), and diverse states.

MA is middling (population-wise), a Primary, and a little more diverse than VT or NH. It added up to a faint Clinton win.

It's not too early to say that Clinton should win NJ, NY, PA, MD, and DE given the implication of her win in MA...if she works for some of those, which she will.

It's also not too early to tentatively credit Sanders with KS, NE, WV, and ME.

I'm not accounting for any loss of momentum in the above, but Sanders should be able to keep a decent wind in the sails from winning four states. Clinton picked up a solid fresh breeze from winning seven (plus American Samoa).