11:35pm EST: Hillary has beat her Louisiana target.

[Chichiri]

The targets for Louisiana are Hillary 33, Bernie 18. The current count is Hillary 35, Bernie 10. Hillary +2 and counting. Six delegates are still to be allocated.

Kansas, on the other hand, went very well for Bernie tonight -- he got 23 delegates on a target of 19, so Bernie +4 in Kansas.

Nebraska is currently 14 and 10, targets 15 and 10, with one delegate still to be allocated. It's either going to be a tie or Hillary +1. If she gets two more delegates from any state or combination of states tonight, she will meet her target for the day. Three delegates and she'll beat it. Bernie needs 5 delegates to meet his target, 6 to beat it.

EDIT: According to 538, Nebraska is going to end up 14 and 11 (Hillary +1), and Louisiana 39 and 12 (Hillary +6). That's a net gain of +3 on targets for Hillary today, and a -3 loss for Bernie.

[Lucinda]

1. Thanks for keeping us up to date on all of this!

It's much appreciated. And fascinating to watch!
If Bernie has a great day tomorrow, the weekend could be a wash, correct?

[Chichiri]

3. To avoid a net loss for the weekend...

Bernie needs 18 of Maine's 25 delegates. If he gets 19, he'll actually shrink his target deficit. This is actually possible, as he would only (only!) need 76% or so of the vote. But less than 72%, and it's a net loss for the weekend.

[Lucinda]

5. Thankie for the numbers, I knew it was doable, just didnt know how large the margin

would need to be!

I really appreciate all your work with this. It's fascinating stuff!

[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

2. +1

[Tarheel_Dem]

4. The point was made on Hardball tonight that BS & Trump do better when outsiders are allowed to....

participate. So when Republicans & Independents are allowed to play around in our process, BS benefits. When they're not, Democrats actually choose Hillary, and Republicans go for whoever the "Not Trump" of the day is, and it looks like Cruz benefited from that.

[UtahLib]

6. K&R

[SunSeeker]

7. K & R

[JohnnyLib2]

8. Much appreciated

[riversedge]

9. 1+

[Cha]

10. Thank you, Chi!

[pandr32]

11. I'm starting to like Math!

[Her Sister]

12. Chichiri I really like and appreciate your explanations!

Thank you!

[SharonClark]

13. K&R

[LAS14]

14. Where do these "targets" come from?

Also, is there anywhere to get historical data regarding polls or 538?

tia
las