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Delegate Counts and how many up for grabs today. (Original Post) Fla Dem Mar 2016 OP
Do you know if any of them sharp_stick Mar 2016 #1
None leftofcool Mar 2016 #2
Thanks, I wasn't sure about that n/t sharp_stick Mar 2016 #3
Yer most welcome. leftofcool Mar 2016 #5
End of the day Hillary expands her lead in both delegates and beachbumbob Mar 2016 #4
You know though that if sharp_stick Mar 2016 #6
Yes, this has the potential MSMITH33156 Mar 2016 #8
I will boldy guess Hillary wins at least 500 delegates comradebillyboy Mar 2016 #7
The Democratic primary is going to be a long, tough slog. And that’s just fine zixiofix Mar 2016 #9
Good article. SunSeeker Mar 2016 #10
Math has Hillary Rodham Clinton bias. From the article...... Tarheel_Dem Mar 2016 #11
He, he, he,he. Trying not to get too giddy about tonight. nt Fla Dem Mar 2016 #12
My understanding is that BS needs huge lopsided victories like Hillary has had across the South. Tarheel_Dem Mar 2016 #13
55% of delegates in all states Stuckinthebush Mar 2016 #14
 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
4. End of the day Hillary expands her lead in both delegates and
Tue Mar 15, 2016, 01:12 PM
Mar 2016

Popular vote...closer to the nomination. Sander supporters are in the dark on the math....

sharp_stick

(14,400 posts)
6. You know though that if
Tue Mar 15, 2016, 01:19 PM
Mar 2016

she doesn't win Ohio there are a significant number of Sanders supporters that are going to be crowing about momentum and a "devastating loss".

They'll then try to alert stalk and hide all math based replies because it doesn't make them feel good.

MSMITH33156

(879 posts)
8. Yes, this has the potential
Tue Mar 15, 2016, 02:27 PM
Mar 2016

to be a date where math runs into narrative.

Florida is by far the biggest state, North Carolina is 4th, but only slightly smaller than Ohio. Hillary will blow those out, and with it, her delegate lead will expand to insurmountable territory.

But if Sanders wins any (or God forbid all) of Illinois, Ohio and Missouri by razor thin margins, that'll be the momentum narrative.

Especially since NC and FL will get called really early, and they will be out of sight, out of mind.

comradebillyboy

(10,128 posts)
7. I will boldy guess Hillary wins at least 500 delegates
Tue Mar 15, 2016, 02:23 PM
Mar 2016

before all the dust settles. Tad Devine and Jeff Weaver will call the evening a virtual tie.

zixiofix

(40 posts)
9. The Democratic primary is going to be a long, tough slog. And that’s just fine
Tue Mar 15, 2016, 02:48 PM
Mar 2016

Wanted to start a new thread about this article, but I'm new so I can't start a new thread. This is a great article today for HRC's campaign:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2016/03/15/the-democratic-primary-is-going-to-be-a-long-tough-slog-and-thats-just-fine/

SunSeeker

(51,522 posts)
10. Good article.
Tue Mar 15, 2016, 04:37 PM
Mar 2016

As it notes, Sanders won Michigan by only 1.5%, so he got no big haul of delegates compared to Hillary. Whereas in Mississippi Hillary won by 48%, so she got 39 delegates, and he only got 14. That is why she wound up with 90 delegates to Bernie's 71 for the night.

Tarheel_Dem

(31,222 posts)
11. Math has Hillary Rodham Clinton bias. From the article......
Tue Mar 15, 2016, 05:18 PM
Mar 2016
"Something similar is likely to happen tonight. Clinton has been leading in polls of Ohio and Illinois, but Sanders seems to have the momentum in both states. But even if he pulls ahead and wins, they’re likely to be pretty close. Yet in Florida, polls show her with a huge lead, of around 25 points. The same is true of North Carolina. If she wins those states by large margins, it won’t surprise anyone, and thus won’t dominate the headlines. But it will widen her lead over Sanders and make it even harder for him to catch her."


Tarheel_Dem

(31,222 posts)
13. My understanding is that BS needs huge lopsided victories like Hillary has had across the South.
Tue Mar 15, 2016, 05:55 PM
Mar 2016

Simply "winning" just isn't enough for him at this point. He needs to pull off an upset win in delegate rich OH or IL, much like HRC did in MS.

Stuckinthebush

(10,841 posts)
14. 55% of delegates in all states
Tue Mar 15, 2016, 06:16 PM
Mar 2016

Not. Going. To. Happen.

But the Bernie fans will scream that he is such a winner if he happens to pull a tie in one or two states.

Math and all....it is hard for them.

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