Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumsharp_stick
(14,400 posts)are winner take all or is that just a Republican thing?
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)There are no Democratic Primary winner take all states.
sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)leftofcool
(19,460 posts)beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)Popular vote...closer to the nomination. Sander supporters are in the dark on the math....
sharp_stick
(14,400 posts)she doesn't win Ohio there are a significant number of Sanders supporters that are going to be crowing about momentum and a "devastating loss".
They'll then try to alert stalk and hide all math based replies because it doesn't make them feel good.
MSMITH33156
(879 posts)to be a date where math runs into narrative.
Florida is by far the biggest state, North Carolina is 4th, but only slightly smaller than Ohio. Hillary will blow those out, and with it, her delegate lead will expand to insurmountable territory.
But if Sanders wins any (or God forbid all) of Illinois, Ohio and Missouri by razor thin margins, that'll be the momentum narrative.
Especially since NC and FL will get called really early, and they will be out of sight, out of mind.
comradebillyboy
(10,128 posts)before all the dust settles. Tad Devine and Jeff Weaver will call the evening a virtual tie.
zixiofix
(40 posts)Wanted to start a new thread about this article, but I'm new so I can't start a new thread. This is a great article today for HRC's campaign:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2016/03/15/the-democratic-primary-is-going-to-be-a-long-tough-slog-and-thats-just-fine/
SunSeeker
(51,522 posts)As it notes, Sanders won Michigan by only 1.5%, so he got no big haul of delegates compared to Hillary. Whereas in Mississippi Hillary won by 48%, so she got 39 delegates, and he only got 14. That is why she wound up with 90 delegates to Bernie's 71 for the night.
Tarheel_Dem
(31,222 posts)Fla Dem
(23,591 posts)Tarheel_Dem
(31,222 posts)Simply "winning" just isn't enough for him at this point. He needs to pull off an upset win in delegate rich OH or IL, much like HRC did in MS.
Stuckinthebush
(10,841 posts)Not. Going. To. Happen.
But the Bernie fans will scream that he is such a winner if he happens to pull a tie in one or two states.
Math and all....it is hard for them.