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book_worm

(15,951 posts)
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 07:44 PM Mar 2016

PPP: A Trump nomination could put North Carolina Senate Seat in play

PPP's first general election poll for the US Senate race in North Carolina shows the way Donald Trump could make life harder for other Republican candidates down ballot this fall.

The Senate race is tight, with Richard Burr holding just a 5 point lead over Deborah Ross at 40/35, with Libertarian candidate Sean Haugh pulling 7%. To put the current state of the race in perspective Elizabeth Dole led Kay Hagan by 5 points on our first poll after the primary in 2008 too, so Ross is starting her upset bid in a very similar place to where Hagan started hers. The general terrain of how voters feel about these candidates remains the same- Burr is not terribly popular with only 32% of voters approving of the job he's doing to 40% who disapprove. Ross continues to be mostly unknown with 56% having no opinion about her one way or the other.

Richard Burr has indicated that he will support the Republican nominee for President regardless of who it is. We find that voters are less likely to vote for Burr by a 26 point spread if he supports Trump for President- doing that would make 48% of voters in the state less inclined to vote for the incumbent compared to only 22% who would be more likely to vote for him. That's a good early indicator of the trouble Trump poses for his party. Another thing making life harder for Burr is the heavily damaged brand of Senate Republicans. Only 15% of voters in North Carolina approve of the job Mitch McConnell is doing, compared to 51% who disapprove. And one issue fueling that unpopularity is the intransigence on the Supreme Court seat- 52% of North Carolinians want to see it filled this year, compared to just 41% who think it should be left empty.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/03/trump-could-make-life-hard-for-burr-in-nc.html?platform=hootsuite

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PPP: A Trump nomination could put North Carolina Senate Seat in play (Original Post) book_worm Mar 2016 OP
Good! haha nt OhZone Mar 2016 #1
I think a Trump nomination could potentially help Dems gain 10 Senate seats book_worm Mar 2016 #2
The perfect storm! yallerdawg Mar 2016 #3
Which is why Democrats should leave Trump alone until after he has clinched the nomination. Tarheel_Dem Mar 2016 #4
And they hate the NC GOP even more. wildeyed Mar 2016 #5

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
2. I think a Trump nomination could potentially help Dems gain 10 Senate seats
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 07:50 PM
Mar 2016

and might even make a big difference in the House.

yallerdawg

(16,104 posts)
3. The perfect storm!
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 07:51 PM
Mar 2016

Trump kills down ballot!

And if they 'convention' him out - riots and divided party!

Lose/lose! Trump is a dream-come-true for Democrats!

How could Trump possibly win?

We nominate a 'socialist'!



wildeyed

(11,240 posts)
5. And they hate the NC GOP even more.
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 10:11 PM
Mar 2016

GOP Governor is going DOWN as a result of cutting school budgets and an unpopular toll road that he supported in a majority GOP area. Black Dems, a large percentage of the NC coalition, are FIRED UP because they like Clinton. They are also furious about the horrible voter ID laws the GOP shoved down our throats (me too, and I am going to GOTV my ass off to be sure they know it).

So if moderate NC Reps are mad AND the Dems turnout, we could definitely beat Burr. Hagan was also an awful candidate. I am pretty chill about personality and ideology when it comes to politicians who play for the team, but I actively disliked her. I am hoping that Ross is better.

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