NEW poll 3/24*Clinton's +25 in PA*SANDERS needs remaining** huge states-WA CA NY; by big #s

[riversedge]

Gabriel Debenedetti ?@gdebenedetti 22m22 minutes ago

New PA poll illustrates Sanders' prob: he needs remaining huge states (WA CA NY...) by big #s—Clinton's up 25 in PA. http://bit.ly/1VIGcyx


http://thetimes-tribune.com/news/sestak-widens-lead-in-senate-race-as-clinton-trump-top-presidential-candidates-1.2022541




Sestak widens lead in Senate race as Clinton, Trump top presidential candidates

BY BORYS KRAWCZENIUK
Published: March 24, 2016



Less than six weeks before the Pennsylvania primary election, Hillary Clinton dominates the Democratic presidential race in the state while Donald Trump narrowly leads the Republican contest, according to a new Franklin & Marshall College poll released Wednesday.

In the Democratic U.S. Senate race, Joe Sestak has moved to a commanding lead over Katie McGinty, the poll found.

The poll found Mrs. Clinton, a former secretary of state, U.S. senator and first lady, had the support of more than half of Democrats (53 percent) with almost three in 10 voters (28 percent) backing Vermont U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders.

The Pennsylvania primary is April 26.



Mrs. Clinton also led both Mr. Trump (46 to 33 percent) and Mr. Cruz (45 to 35 percent) in theoretical head-to-head general election matchups..................
.................

G. Terry Madonna, Ph.D., the poll director, said none of the results in the presidential races should come as a surprise. Mrs. Clinton, with her ties to Scranton and past campaigns here by her and her husband, President Bill Clinton, is well-known in Pennsylvania, he said.

“It’s going to be hugely difficult if not virtually impossible ... for Sanders to catch her in this state,” Dr. Madonna said. “This is a quintessential Clinton state.”

Mrs. Clinton dominates the polling everywhere but the northwest, where she only leads to Mr. Sanders by 3 percentage points (46 percent to 43 percent). Her largest advantages are in Philadelphia (63 percent to 25 percent), home of the largest bloc of African-American voters, and the northeast (55 percent to 19 percent)..............

[yallerdawg]

1. Hillary can just go around being presidential.

The Republicans can self-destruct with their weird candidate selections.

Bernie's crowd-funding will quietly dry up, and he'll fade away...

[riversedge]

5. I love your positive thinking.

[Surya Gayatri]

2. Enormous K & R. Thanks for posting.

[Gothmog]

3. Thanks for posting

[mcar]

4. That's my native Commonwealth!

[riversedge]

8. Lots of noise from the Sanders camp after another delegate loss this week saying wait till PA

keeping fingers and toes crossed.


Citizens Fed Up ?@CitizensFedUp 6m6 minutes ago

Lots of noise from the Sanders camp after another delegate loss this week saying wait till PA

OK!!

#ByeByeBernie
1 retweet 2 likes

[pandr32]

10. So excellent!

[Treant]

11. 189 pledged delegates, though.

The rest are superdelegates. We (I live in PA) are the fifth largest delegate haul in the nation.

[Tarheel_Dem]

16. Your graphic shows 210 delegates, I wonder why fivethirtyeight only shows 189 for PA?

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/democrats/

[Treant]

17. Pledged delegates.

We have 189 pledged delegates, and 21 superdelegates.

[Tarheel_Dem]

18. That would explain it. Thanks a lot.

[LiberalFighter]

21. Personally, I think they should be identified as automatic delegates

instead of superdelegates.

[George II]

19. That translates to another addition of about 60 delegates to her insurmountable lead.

[Walk away]

6. In the end, he will put all of his eggs in one basket. California.

That's the state to worry about.

[FloridaBlues]

7. He's not going to win this state by any large margin esp since she will have it wrapped up

[riversedge]

9. His donors will have to ante up lots of gold eggs--yes, he is making

a HUGE play for CA.

[Treant]

12. Anecdotally, that feels right

I don't see any huge Bernie support in my area, and PA's demographics simply don't favor Sanders. We're large, diverse, and have ties to the Clintons.

Our ties aren't as strong as NY or AR, but strong enough to make a difference.

#ShesGotThis and #ImWithHer

[Dawson Leery]

14. Southeast PA, with the city and affluent suburbs

make the territory quite bad for Berns.

[Treant]

15. +1

I'm in east-central PA near the NJ border. This is not Bernie country either. We're middle to upper middle class, for the most part, with solid Latino communities.

And with those two areas, you've just analyzed well over half the state's population.

[Chichiri]

13. That's an incredibly dense subject line.

Don't feel you have to put everything in the subject to get attention.

[DemonGoddess]

20. K&R!

[LiberalFighter]

22. The last poll I saw had it Clinton: 48 - Sanders: 27

Giving Clinton 121 delegates and Sanders 68 delegates.

This poll would make it 124 to 65.

[jsmirman]

23. I think you want to edit your subject line - replace "WA" with "PA"

which is what you mean.