Today's gonna be Bernie's best day of the primary.

[DanTex]

He'll probably net some 30-40 delegates, thanks to Bernie-friendly caucuses in three Bernie-friendly states. After that come WY and WI, and my guess is that after those five contests, Hillary will be about 250 delegates ahead.

And that's great news, because that will be Bernie's high-watermark. After that comes NY on April 19, which goes Hillary, hopefully by a large margin, followed by a bunch of mostly Hillary-friendly or neutral states.

Of course, it would be great if Hillary pulls off Hawaii, or keeps Washington close, but in the big picture, even if Bernie has a yuge day today, it won't change much. Hillary's path to the nomination is clear.

[Cha]

1. I'll be voting in Hawaii today!

Mahalo for the pep talk, DanTex.

[DanTex]

5. Awesome! That's the one state Hillary has the best chance of pulling off!

[Cha]

9. What have you heard? No one will tell me anything..

[DanTex]

12. The betting markets have Bernie a 70-30 favorite in Hawaii.

In Alaska and Washington, he's at about 95%, so if we're gonna bring home one state today, it's probably gonna by yours!

[Cha]

14. 70-30?! Wow!

So, some kind of sea change?

Darn these people falling for the BS.

[DanTex]

16. BTW those are odds, not polling numbers. Bernie has a 70% chance of winning.

I don't know the polling numbers, but I'm pretty sure they aren't that drastic.

[Cha]

18. I figured that.. but, still 70% chance of winning is big. Anybody ever turn

around those odds?

[DanTex]

19. Oh yeah, it can be done. It's far from a lock. And even keeping it close is a win,

but I'd sure love to see her come out with a victory.

[Cha]

20. I know you do.. not as much as me though!

Mahalo.. to keepin' it close

[stopbush]

22. IIRC, Hillary had a 95% chance of winning MI.

I think HI will be close. She could win it.

[Cha]

23. Yeah, they got their polling messed up.

I haven't seen any polling on Hawaii.

I hope so!

[stopbush]

30. The pollsters are basing their projection on the idea

that Bernie does better in caucuses than does Hillary.

They seem to forget the caucus results from IO & NV.

[rock]

29. Hey Cha

Didn't Bernie beat those odds in Michigan? So yeah, after all those are only about 2 to 1 odds.

[George II]

21. There has been very little, if any, polling in those three states. I think Clinton might win in...

...Hawaii, but lose in both Alaska (who cares?) and Washington. The closer the better - a win means little, the margin of the win is mor important.

This is probably the biggest "lull" in Clinton's campaign - as pointed out, in a couple of weeks she'll start drawing away again.

[Her Sister]

6. wow! CHA!!! Go CHA!!!

Super news! Isn't it late/early right now in the day/night for you in Hawaii!! Twilight hours?

[Cha]

15. It's 4am.. I'm a night owl.

Be up earlier though to go to the polling place @ High Noon.

[OhZone]

2. True, and I wish him well.

If we win Hawaii or if there are problems, I just hope the Bernie fans don't blame NSA robot spy sparrows, stealing their voter registrations.

Oh well.

[Her Sister]

8. I googled NSA robot spy sparrows!!! so perfect!

getting one of those fer sure!

[KitSileya]

3. This is important to keep in mind.

We know how to be realistic, unlike some. I would advise all Hillary supporters to avoid GD: P for a while after the results come in. The unrealistic expectations (read delusions) will be in full force after he wins.

[Surya Gayatri]

10. "I would advise all Hillary supporters to avoid GD: P"...

Like a plague-ridden medieval European city.

Or, an ebola-threatened African region. LOL!

Quarantine!!!!!!!

[workinclasszero]

4. Hillary's got this primary election locked up

So no problems.

He can win the whole weekend and he still loses the primary BIGTIME!


Its all downhill after this weekend for Bernie. It will be amusing to see his acolytes trying to spin it as a huge comeback on the way to victory or something

[DemonGoddess]

7. K&R!

Thank you!

[Surya Gayatri]

11. Wise words...thanks, DanTex.

[Her Sister]

13. Perfect words DanTex!

We are in waiting and charged and ready!

[yallerdawg]

17. Sooner or later Hillary supporters will change this narrative - AGAIN!

Although we didn't hear it much, sweeping 5 states when 3 were predicted for Bernie - that was unexpected!

No matter what the results today end up - Hillary WILL BE one step closer to the nomination, and Bernie will most definitely still be well behind!

Sweep your caucus room, Cha!

Prove that we can be just as annoying!!!

[Fla Dem]

24. The one thing we have going for HRC today is it's a Saturday.

For a lot of millennials, supposedly BS's big voting block, Saturday is a day to kick back, sleep late, watch sports on TV. Lots of things to do. How many want to spend hours at a caucus? Maybe they'll just get too caught up in their own lives, they won't bother to show up.

[Walk away]

25. If some folks want to get their hopes up only to have them be dashed on the rocks of reality....

that's fine with me. It will be interesting to see it happen. I can wait until New York State to get mine!

[Satch59]

26. I would think HI is big on Obama...

Which would translate into Hillary keeping it going? Close results would be a win in my book, no matter how hard the BS'ers try to spin a "turning point"...

And how can a poll put him up 1pt anyway? Is it just an attempt to make it seem close? Like MSNBC giving Bernie so much air time...seemed transparent...they don't really believe it's close, they just want people to keep watching.

[Bleacher Creature]

27. Good for Bernie.

Let him have his moment so that he can go out knowing that he gave it his best shot.

What I can't stand is the inevitable overreach we're going to see from his supporters, as if this wasn't the way it was expected to play out.

[Coolest Ranger]

28. I am keeping the faith

Voters may surprise us today

[NastyRiffraff]

31. Yes, voter have a habit of surprising

which is something Berniacs can't understand. How could anyone NOT vote for Bernie? All those rallies! All those signs! All those slogans! Why can't voters fall in line???!!!!

[NastyRiffraff]

31. Yes, voter have a habit of surprising

which is something Berniacs can't understand. How could anyone NOT vote for Bernie? All those rallies! All those signs! All those slogans! Why can't voters fall in line???!!!!