Monroe I lived in for 30 years before moving to NJ -
The demographics themselves as well as the business reminds me a lot of Seattle however and thus I do believe this county will be hotly contests. Ideologically it is hard to place people especially those who are on opposite sides of the country since everyday life is so much different. If Seattle was any indication however this will be one of the better large counties for Sanders if he is able to channel the millennial, tech savvy voter bloc. The model is definitely kind to Clinton given the demographics and polling numbers, but they were also kind to her in Seattle. Watch this county closely when returns start to come in as it will tell us a lot about the young, tech savvy millennial vote and if they are turning out in the massive numbers they need to propel Sanders to a state wide victory.
It's not "upstate" - it's "West". Upstate is what people back home refer to as the Mountains or the Southern Tier . . .
We used to say "We are different out West."
There is heavy interaction with every day Canadians in Monroe, Erie, and Niagara County (just over two bridges from Erie). The Gen Xers are also Tech Saavy - many cut their teeth in the business world on the tech bubble and telecom alley. Their parents lost manufacturing jobs at Kodak, Xerox, B &L, etc etc. Those who stayed - have the example of Senator Clinton working with Louise Slaughter to keep the city alive.
This is the "Great Lakes" not NYC - but Detroit and Rochester could not be more different. Ditto Buffalo where it's not uncommon for Sunday dinner with family requires a border crossing.
IE these people are not isolated from rest of world.
Both go Clinton.
I canvassed for her in those three counties and even the Indie Republicans were for her in 2000. It's too late for those people to register as Democratic - but perhaps some Pataki Republicans that worked with my dad to get Obama elected didn't change their affiliation. My father was a precinct captain for Obama.
Just a little insight from someone from a local political household with parents who ran and won locally in a town/community in Monroe that was lavender - as Liberals.
Those counties on the 19th are going for Clinton. It's just a matter of how a margin she wins by. They won't want their financial come back put at risk. It relies heavily on global trade.
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Mahalo~
