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Sun Nov 14, 2021, 10:30 PM

Initial results in Argentine elections show opposition winning mid-terms

Argentina's main opposition coalition held leads in congressional mid-term elections on Sunday, early results showed, indicating a strong challenge to the ruling Peronist coalition.

Nationally, and with 98% of the vote counted, the right-wing Together for Change coalition had a strong lead of 43% to 34% for the ruling Front for All in House races - and 48% to 28% in Senate races.

President Alberto Fernández's center-left Front for All coalition is projected to lose 2 of its 120 House seats, and 6 of its 41 Senate seats - still leaving them as the largest coalition in each house, albeit with razor-thin majorities that would leave them dependent on minor parties for passage of any legislation.

Together for Change, in turn, would retain its 116 House seats, and add 5 Senators for 34 seats including allies - leaving Peronists without a 50%+ majority in the Senate for the first time democracy returned to Argentina in 1983.

The results may likewise jeopardize House Speaker Sergio Massa's post - a key centrist ally of the Fernández administration and a leading contender for the 2027 Peronist nomination.

Rampant inflation of 52% and fallout from the release in August of photos of the presidential couple hosting friends for the First Lady's birthday in July 2020 - when gatherings were still restricted - have hurt public support for the government, despite a strong economic recovery this year of 10.8% and a 96% drop in new Covid cases since June highs.

Over 34 million Argentines were eligible to vote, with turnout (around 72%) showing an improvement from the 68% recorded in the first round in September - but below the average 75% turnout in recent federal elections.

A high vaccination rate of 89% among adults (76%, both doses) allowed for lower wait times at polling places than in September.

At: https://www.batimes.com.ar/news/argentina/initial-results-in-argentinas-election-show-opposition-winning-key-races.phtml

An exultant María Vidal waves to supporters at the right-wing 'Together for Change' opposition's mid-term election night rally in Buenos Aires - with former Argentine President Mauricio Macri clasping his hands beside her.

While the opposition fell slightly short of its first-round results in September, today's results will deprive the ruling, center-left Front for All of its ample Senate majority - leaving President Alberto Fernández with razor-thin majorities in the House and Senate.

Fernández will now depend on minor parties to pass everything from the 2023 federal budget, to an expected IMF agreement to refinance the record, $45 billion debt inherited from Macri in 2019.

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Reply Initial results in Argentine elections show opposition winning mid-terms (Original post)
peppertree Nov 2021 OP
Judi Lynn Nov 2021 #1
peppertree Nov 2021 #2

Response to peppertree (Original post)

Tue Nov 16, 2021, 04:13 PM

1. If only the majority will remember next election where Macri had placed the economy

before he was replaced quickly so the people of conscience could get right to work pulling the country out of the catastrophe Macri and his fascist mob had created.

Surely their attention spans aren't that limited.

How gruesome it is seeing Maria Vidal is keeping so close to her sociopathic mentor while they plot their course to hijack the country again! What a sinister, ruthless bunch of thugs they are!

It's time the hard-working, conscientious leader President Alberto Fernández got some distance from these villains.

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Response to Judi Lynn (Reply #1)

Tue Nov 16, 2021, 06:08 PM

2. Plot to hijack is exactly right, Judi - though voters stopped Vidal's aim of becoming House Speaker

Fernández's Front for All lost just 2 House seats (possibly just one - if a recount in one district goes their way).

Macri's 'Together' coalition (they keep changing the name) held steady - and may have lost that one seat in the recount.

That leaves the Front for All with either a 118/116 majority, or a 119/115 majority: Either way, enough for House Speaker Sergio Massa to hold on to the gavel.

Same goes for the Senate: Front for All lost 6 seats; but will retain a 35/31 majority (and thus the gavel).

This is key, because it's no secret that Macri's gang was hoping to install Vidal as House Speaker - and then collude with banks to create a run on the currency in March.

A successful run on the currency would potentially provoke an economic collapse, riots - and, almost inevitably, Fernández's resignation (along with VP Cristina Kirchner's and Senate President Claudia Abdala's).

That was the plan.

But (thankfully) Macri's candidates fell short of clinching a House or Senate majority.

I suppose it's a much more dramatic version of what Republicans are hoping to do to Biden next year: Clinch House and Senate majorities, and then impeach Biden and (of course) Harris.

Biden and Harris would (unlike the Argentine example above) stay in office, of course - but they would head into their re-election campaigns as impeached officials, which Repugs think would weaken them just enough to make a 12th Amendment heist in January 2025 much easier to pull off.

What a wicked web we weave...but such are the times we live in, as you know.

That said, thanks again for your time and thoughts Judi - and have a great week. November's my favorite time of year.

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