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marmar

(77,073 posts)
Mon Mar 28, 2016, 08:39 AM Mar 2016

“Spike in Defaults”: Standard & Poor’s Gets Gloomy, Blames Fed


“Spike in Defaults”: Standard & Poor’s Gets Gloomy, Blames Fed
by Wolf Richter • March 27, 2016


[font color="blue"]“Hangover from years of lenient credit may become painful.”[/font]

Credit rating agencies, such as Standard & Poor’s, are not known for early warnings. They’re mired in conflicts of interest and reluctant to cut ratings for fear of losing clients. When they finally do warn, it’s late and it’s feeble, and the problem is already here and it’s big.

So Standard & Poor’s, via a report by S&P Capital IQ, just warned about US corporate borrowers’ average credit rating, which at “BB,” and thus in junk territory, hit a record low, even “below the average we recorded in the aftermath of the 2008-2009 credit crisis.”

The one-year average default rate for US companies with a credit rating of B- is 9.8%, according to Standard & Poor’s. That’s a 1-in-10 chance that the company will default over the next 12 months. Companies getting downgraded deep into junk and issuing more low-grade bonds are precursors to soaring defaults. ...............(more)

http://wolfstreet.com/2016/03/27/sp-gets-bearish-sees-spike-in-defaults-blames-fed/




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“Spike in Defaults”: Standard & Poor’s Gets Gloomy, Blames Fed (Original Post) marmar Mar 2016 OP
More bad Monday news. Thanks. WhiteTara Mar 2016 #1
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