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Sun Jun 23, 2019, 04:02 PM

Unemployment is rising in eight Trump states; polls show some have turned on him

Unemployment rates edged up year over year in Mississippi, Arizona, North Carolina, Indiana, South Carolina, Kansas, Missouri and Nebraska, according to the latest numbers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

All eight states went to Trump in 2016.

Trumpís net approval rating remains high in most of these states. But more people in Arizona and North Carolina disapprove of his job as president than approve, according to the latest Morning Consult poll.

It's unlikely that all eight states, which have a combined 73 electoral votes, would flip to the Democratic candidate in 2020.

Trump lost the popular vote in 2016, but won in the Electoral College thanks in large part to victories in Pennsylvania, Ohio and Michigan, which all voted for Democrat Barack Obama twice. Employment edged up year over year in all three states.

At: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/21/unemployment-rising-in-8-states-that-voted-for-trump.html



Trump regales Mississippi supporters with his tall tales last year.

At +17%, his net approval in Mississippi is the highest in the nation. The state's stagnant economy tells a different story.

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Response to sandensea (Original post)

Sun Jun 23, 2019, 04:07 PM

1. If that trend continues, Trump will be in serious trouble come the end of the year 2019.

Indiana, North Carolina, Kansas, Nebraska, Wisconsin, Iowa, are farm states so to speak. Ohio and Michigan are more industrial with much open farm land and spaces. It will depend on the economies of those states and employment numbers. Should the Economy take a turn downward because of the Tariffs, the continued bad weather, loss of manufacturing, Trump will face defeat.

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Response to ProudMNDemocrat (Reply #1)

Sun Jun 23, 2019, 04:14 PM

2. Absolutely. Putin and Bibi's electronic vote flippers will have to work overtime next year.

Many voters in those Great Lakes states voted for him almost on an impulse. "Hillary's pro-free trade, and Tump ain't!"

And even so he won those by a hair - assuming no votes were flipped.

Cheeto has to do at least as well next year to eke out re-election, and you pointed out there's practically no way given the economy in those states.

So as I see it, two things could save the orange blob: Putin and Bibi's electronic vote flippers (and they're definitely working on this); or some convenient 'incident' on U.S. soil.

And I'm sure "new Pearl Harbor" Bolton's working on that too.

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Response to sandensea (Original post)

Sun Jun 23, 2019, 04:34 PM

3. I don't trust Disapproval polls. Lots of trumpsters are mad because he hasn't deported millions,

locked up BLM, bombed Iran and North Korea. They'll vote for trump in 2020 when it comes down to it.

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Response to Hoyt (Reply #3)

Sun Jun 23, 2019, 05:21 PM

4. The die-hard Chumpkins, sure. But keep in mind there are lots of marginal Trump voters

Independents who reluctantly picked Trump at the last minute because they thought he was anti-free trade, people who bought into his infrastructure shtick, etc.

And for someone who won by the skin of his teeth - four key Great Lakes states, by less than 1% (assuming no fraud) - this isn't a god sign at all.

No wonder he's so anxious to provoke the Iranians into a war.

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Response to sandensea (Original post)

Sun Jun 23, 2019, 05:31 PM

5. such a diverse crowd in that picture

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Response to Skittles (Reply #5)

Sun Jun 23, 2019, 05:46 PM

6. They're what in Mississippi are called "the good people"

Good an' white.

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Response to sandensea (Reply #6)

Sun Jun 23, 2019, 08:09 PM

7. I went to military tech training in Mississippi

it's a whole different world down there

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