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Thu Aug 15, 2019, 03:15 PM

'The Sea Will Get as Hot as a Jacuzzi': What Life in Israel Will Be Like in 2100

Winter will get much shorter and even nighttime won't offer respite from the heat. Israel is warming up, and by the end of the century we simply won’t be able to exist without air conditioning
Haaretz
By Oded Carmeli Aug 15, 2019

“I’m happy I won’t be alive,” says Baruch Rinkevich of Israel Oceanographic and Limnological Research, who is currently helping to prepare the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s next report on the oceans and the cryosphere.

“After us, the deluge, as the saying goes. People don’t fully understand what we’re talking about here,” explains Prof. Rinkevich, a marine biologist. “They think about melting icebergs and polar bears who won’t have a home. They don’t understand that everything is expected to change: the air we breathe, the food we eat, the water we drink, the landscapes we see, the oceans, the seasons, the daily routine, the quality of life. Our children will have to adapt or become extinct...”

To prepare this report, Haaretz spoke to a number of Israeli scientists from a range of disciplines. All the interviewees were asked to address the anticipated implications of a “moderate” rise of only 2 to 3 degrees Celsius, the midrange of the IPCC forecast. The picture that emerges, however threatening, is the most realistic one for the near future. And even it might be overly optimistic.

The combination of these two parameters, heat and humidity, is called the Heat Stress Index. Brief exposure to conditions of a high HSI can raise the body temperature to between 38 and 40 degrees Celsius (normal is 37 degrees, or 98.6 F), resulting in headaches, vomiting and shallow breathing. When body heat reaches 41 degrees or more, multi-systemic damage occurs, affecting the brain, the heart, the liver and the kidneys, which can lead to loss of consciousness, spasms, even death. Elderly and infirm people, as well as infants and children, are the first to suffer and die in such a situation, because the heat-regulation mechanisms in their bodies are less efficient.
In July 2015, residents of the Iranian city of Bandar Mahshahr awoke to a temperature of 46 degrees Celsius (115 F), accompanied by high humidity from the Persian Gulf. The result was an unimaginable HSI of 74 degrees – the second-highest ever recorded (the highest on record is 81 degrees, in 2003, in the Saudi Arabian city of Dhahran). At that level of heat overload, even someone at full repose in the shade is incapable of cooling his or her body down by means of perspiration and is in genuine mortal danger, like someone trapped in a locked car in the summer.
By 2100, Israelis, too, could wake up to days like that.


A stunning article filled with quotes from thoughtful and brilliant scientists.

https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/.premium.MAGAZINE-the-sea-will-get-as-hot-as-a-jacuzzi-what-life-in-israel-will-look-like-in-2100-1.7688062

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Reply 'The Sea Will Get as Hot as a Jacuzzi': What Life in Israel Will Be Like in 2100 (Original post)
bronxiteforever Aug 2019 OP
Duppers Aug 2019 #1
bronxiteforever Aug 2019 #6
Duppers Aug 2019 #2
Seedersandleechers Aug 2019 #3
The_jackalope Aug 2019 #4
bronxiteforever Aug 2019 #5

Response to bronxiteforever (Original post)

Thu Aug 15, 2019, 04:09 PM

1. Tell it like it is.

It will be. Even many DUers don't want to hear or believe this. It's very difficult to accept and once accepted, most difficult to deal with until one come to a certain place.

I cried for weeks when coming to terms with the knowledge that my son will be unable to experience a full lifespan. Our own mortality is most difficult to face (hence religion) but knowledge of what we've done to our children is devastating. My son's a brilliant person, knows what's coming, and is living life to its fullest now. I've profusely apologize to him.


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Response to Duppers (Reply #1)

Thu Aug 15, 2019, 07:40 PM

6. We battle against our DNA when thinking about climate change

Our poor monkey brains seem unable to care about a world only a decade or two out in the future. You are so correct- our own mortality ,as unpleasant sounding as it is, is nothing compared to letting our future families inherit a wasteland we helped create.

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Response to bronxiteforever (Original post)

Thu Aug 15, 2019, 04:13 PM

2. bronxiteforever, consider posting this in GD?

As a line in "As Good as It Gets" goes - "it's the brave thing to do."

Then take cover. ....

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Response to bronxiteforever (Original post)

Thu Aug 15, 2019, 05:11 PM

3. Only when man is gone

will the earth begin to heal.

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Response to bronxiteforever (Original post)

Thu Aug 15, 2019, 06:54 PM

4. We are all God's children

But She has locked us in a hot car, and is down on her hands and knees on the sidewalk throwing up blood.

“It sounds ridiculous to us as Israelis,” she says, “because we are living under the illusion that we are physiologically acclimatized to the weather – certainly those of us who were born here. But that is just an illusion. The fact is that electric-power consumption records are broken yearly in Israel. One day in the near future there could be an intolerable heat wave, we will all turn on our air conditioners at the same time and the power grid will simply collapse. In the case of a power outage, we will not get help from the neighbors. That’s the scenario I find most disturbing.”

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Response to The_jackalope (Reply #4)

Thu Aug 15, 2019, 07:34 PM

5. +1

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