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Thu Mar 19, 2020, 09:20 AM

Stanford Study: Impact Of Warming World On Extreme Weather 2006-17 Substantially Underestimated

The influence of global warming on the unprecedented extreme climatic events between 2006 and 2017 has previously been underestimated, according to a new study from Stanford University, US, which could have major consequences for people’s lives.

The study shows that predicting the likelihood of future extreme weather events by analysing how frequently they occurred in the past underestimated about half the actual number of extremely hot days in Europe and East Asia. The same was also found for the number of extremely wet days in the US, Europe and East Asia.

The research, published in the journal Science Advances, describes how increases in global warming can cause large upticks in the probability of extreme weather events, particularly heat waves and heavy rainfalls.

"We are seeing year after year how the rising incidence of extreme events is causing significant impacts on people and ecosystems," says climate scientist Noah Diffenbaugh. "One of the main challenges in becoming more resilient to these extremes is accurately predicting how the global warming that's already happened has changed the odds of events that fall outside of our historical experience."



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