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Mon Apr 6, 2020, 08:22 AM

Colorado State Hurricane Projections For 2020 Well Above Historic Avg; 16 Systems, 8 'Canes, 4 Major

EDIT

For the 37th year in a row, Colorado State University (CSU) issued its hurricane season forecast Thursday — and the numbers appear significantly above normal.

Specifically, the team forecasts 16 named tropical systems; 12 is the average. Eight of those named systems are forecast to reach hurricane status, with winds greater than 74 mph; Six is the usual amount per year. CSU is also forecasting more major hurricanes than is typical per year: four as opposed to the average of 2.7.

The forecast is also alarming in that it's calling for a nearly 70% chance a major hurricane — which is at least a Category 3 storm with sustained wind speeds of 111 to 129 mph — makes landfall somewhere along the U.S. coast. That's 130% of the long-term average. The Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) — a collective measure of overall activity in terms of number, intensity and longevity of storms — is forecast to be 140% of the long-term average.

Along with these forecasts, research also shows tropical systems are intensifying more rapidly and likely slowing down their forward motion due — at least partially — to a warmer globe. This is leading to more damage due to stronger winds, heavier rain and flooding.

EDIT

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/2020-atlantic-hurricane-season-colorado-state-university-forecast-released-today-2020-04-02/

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Reply Colorado State Hurricane Projections For 2020 Well Above Historic Avg; 16 Systems, 8 'Canes, 4 Major (Original post)
hatrack Apr 6 OP
N_E_1 for Tennis Apr 6 #1
Laffy Kat Apr 6 #2
snowybirdie Apr 6 #3
lark Apr 6 #5
lark Apr 6 #4

Response to hatrack (Original post)

Mon Apr 6, 2020, 08:28 AM

1. Nothing to worry about...

We’re prepared...right?

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Response to hatrack (Original post)

Mon Apr 6, 2020, 08:29 AM

2. Damn.

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Response to hatrack (Original post)

Mon Apr 6, 2020, 08:37 AM

3. Probably not

the best year to decide to remain in Florida for the summer.

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Response to snowybirdie (Reply #3)

Mon Apr 6, 2020, 08:56 AM

5. Last year was the year to be in FL.

We didn't have even 1 tropical storm which is definitely an anomaly here.

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Response to hatrack (Original post)

Mon Apr 6, 2020, 08:55 AM

4. Fuck, that is awful news for southern coastal states.

Just hope they're wrong, can you imagine being devastated by a hurricane and then Covid-19 reappears - what a horror show that would be and it could easily happen in these states 7 southern that ignored the pandemic because drumpf said ......

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