African American
Related: About this forum'Hillary Clinton’s support among blacks plunges in a new poll'
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/10/01/hillary-clintons-support-from-black-voters-plunges-in-a-new-poll/
We've added bars that show the 10 percent margin of error for the group, showing how much variability is at play. But even so, it's a giant drop-off. Among white Democrats, Clinton is doing nine points worse since July. With black Democrats, this poll has her down 31.
I wanted to post this in here where we can have an intelligent, REALITY BASED conversation about this poll and any impact that doesn't devolve into the typical and idiotic "see, the more blacks see the LIGHT (read: agree with us), the less likely they are to support Hillary!!1"
Even with the poll's issues (a 10 point margin of error??!), a 31 point drop is huge.
Never doubted for a second that Hillary would have difficulty sustaining that damn near 90% support in the AA community though. We have black regular posters in this forum that have made it abundantly clear they will never vote for her and I'm sure they are not alone.
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)I do think since Biden is polling that may be the reason for the drop. I don't think Hillary will get 90% of the AA vote but I do look to see those numbers go up again.
Number23
(24,544 posts)If they can't poll the support of people who have openly declared that they are running, then just stop fucking polling altogether.
The speculation about Biden is unnecessary and completely skews everything right now, imo. We keep seeing that if Biden is taken out x will happen. Well, just take him out! Then we'll get a much more accurate picture of what's going on.
zappaman
(20,606 posts)Oh look!
There's someone who can shake up the race!
Throw him in that poll!
It's just one long horse race for the media.
Number23
(24,544 posts)Show us the support of the people who are running. I know that it's early in the race but gauging the support of people who aren't even running right now is screwing up everything and doesn't give us a true picture of what's happening in the polls right now.
And I like Biden! Alot! And I still wish they'd stop putting him in these damn polls right now.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)(As Zappaman, noted) ... "Hillary Clintons support among blacks plunges in a new poll."
I had a rough day and am too damned tired to do the research; but, in order for this poll to mean what it says ... one would have to look at a number of things, including HRC's numbers in their last polling (and whether they included Biden).
I wouldn't be surprised if Black voters polled as abandoning HRC for Biden ... as he would be seen more as an continuation of President Obama's term. Further, Biden shows/showed a lot of love for President Obama ... that love would likely translate to Biden.
Number23
(24,544 posts)Not that the Bernie crowd seems even the tiniest bit willing to concede that point. Which makes all of the crowing about this poll from that group all the more hilarious and heartbreaking at the same time. While they continue to whine endlessly about the "smear campaign" against Bernie Sanders. You know, the one cooked up by Undercover Brother or somebody to get him to speak more about racism and issues that affect minority Americans. That was just the most horrible, unfair thing a Senator running for president has EVER had to endure, you know.
But the decision to keep inserting Biden into these polls has to be more than a a cynical attempt by the media to create a horse race... doesn't it???
I have to admit, seeing Obama's VP in the White House does seem like the closest thing to getting a third term for Obama which does make me do the Snoopy happy dance.
lovemydog
(11,833 posts)Nice seeing you again.
Agree with your points about Biden being seen as both most likely to further President Obama's accomplishments, and as being most supportive of President Obama. I know that goes a long way with me.
pnwmom
(108,973 posts)jaysunb
(11,856 posts)she is certainly not my first choice. And that seems to be the consensus of those in my personal circle.
Number23
(24,544 posts)She's saying the same thing you're saying and neither one of you is far from alone in that regard.
I wish I could be excited about any of these candidates. I keep waiting to get excited but I'm not. Obama has spoiled me.
jaysunb
(11,856 posts)JustAnotherGen
(31,798 posts)He has not declared - yet the media wants to drive the narrative.
Number23
(24,544 posts)support from Dems are the ones have Biden in them. Who has NOT DECLARED that he's even running.
It's so incredibly stupid and I do think it's an effort to make it seem that Hillary has less support than she really has.
sheshe2
(83,710 posts)With adding Biden into the mix it is frustrating at best. It makes every damn poll inaccurate. I know I know they are fostering drama. I wish for once we could get some accurate information.
Starry Messenger
(32,342 posts)And really, this campaign has been pretty low key. The debates should give people more to discuss on this issues instead of emailghazi and Trumpmania. There haven't been any of those "defining moments" type events for any of the candidates, who are all still out there getting their face-time.
JI7
(89,244 posts)votes from Hillary. and the numbers for SAnders are not really good at all.
so people responding to a poll by claiming things that even this poll doesn't show.
Number23
(24,544 posts)that black folks are feeling the Bern and that the "smear campaign" against Sanders -- apparently asking him to focus more on minority issues is just the meanest thing EVAH -- is not working. That's not even close to what's happening here.
Undecided got more votes than Sanders did but I seriously doubt that will get people with WELL established reputations for not being honest or smart to suddenly decide to be so now. Biden is pulling Hillary's black support and right now, appears to be the only real threat to Hillary. But even still, a 31 point drop is pretty freaking significant.
ismnotwasm
(41,974 posts)I realize this is only anecdotal, but it was an AA friend of mine who explained his trepidation about Sanders to ME, I didn't explain anything to him. Learned from him actually.
The narrative that AA's are somehow more politically naive or don't have the same information that whites do is infuriating.
Of course polls are going to do what polls do. AA's owe Hillary nothing and they'll make up their own damn minds. This particular poll is not one I'd roll my dice one--but that's not the point
I do like that the realization has hit that AA vote is so vitally important. It's about time.
Number23
(24,544 posts)Before this thing is all said and done, Sanders could wind up with 90% of the black vote in his back pocket. He could win a Nobel Prize for his work in AA and minority communities.
But the idea that we are not allowed to question his work, his policies or his positions or else it becomes "race baiting" and a "smear campaign" says a shitload more about the people tossing these terms around than it ever will about the people these phrases are being tossed at.
And as has been noted time and again, it's not Sanders saying this hateful, stupid shit. But far too many of his supporters have decided that black people who talk about his work in black communities or women who question his work on women's issues are the ones creating "wedges" and "divisions." As if he is simply too pure and good to be questioned.
I have seen black posters in this forum go OFF on Hillary for the stuff that she said and did during the 2008 campaign or other issues and I have not seen one Hillary supporter refer to any of that as a "smear campaign" as if black people didn't have that right. Not one. People need to understand that our votes are important, but so are our perspectives and opinions as well as our rights to express them. And anyone who feels otherwise can go suck a damn egg.
ismnotwasm
(41,974 posts)MrScorpio
(73,630 posts)pnwmom
(108,973 posts)I would think the margin of error would be even bigger than what they report
Chitown Kev
(2,197 posts)What, I don't know.
I think they need to stop polling Joe Biden being as he isn't in the race...and my gut is most of those are Hillary voters...if Biden decides not to run.
I do know that the white paternalism on the GDP thread is really burning me up.
Number23
(24,544 posts)Yep. And it's always, always ALWAYS from the same folks. ALL OF THE TIME. EVERY SINGLE TIME. They simply are unable to help themselves.
But one there is well known to this forum for all the wrong reasons. Has said more cringe inducingly stupid, damn near psychotic things on this web site than any other poster here. HATES it when black folks speak for ourselves because it robs her of him/her of their (seemingly endless) opportunities to speak for us.
She'd decided that Bernie Sanders was making serious inroads and had all but secured the black vote when the charmingly named Blacks for Bernie Facebook group got to 180 members. 180. Dead serious. This is what we're dealing with here.
JustAnotherGen
(31,798 posts)Because of current events and the delay in starting the debates AND well - the media loves beating up on Democratic politicians . . . There will be no softball questions.
Gun Control reform won't be falling off the radar in the next week. Obama is going to force this issue. He wants it politicized. Head of Democratic Party can keep it in the news cycle.
Sanders better be prepared to bring his A Game because O'Malley is going to nail that question.
Big Smile - I pissed off Beretta. Big smile.
Number23
(24,544 posts)I read that there have been almost 1000 mass shooting in the U.S. -- THIS YEAR.
I pray that Obama does force this issue. It needs to be forced. And all of the candidates need to be prepared. Though I'm sure that Sanders supporters will consider questioning him on gun control is part of the same "smear campaign" as the one black folks created by trying to get him (as well as EVERY OTHER CANDIDATE) to address minority issues.
lovemydog
(11,833 posts)because it's the same loudmouths talking incessantly amongst each other. I also don't like their bullying toward people who don't share the same views. It's a classic example of way too many in the majority acting 'high on their own supply.'
lovemydog
(11,833 posts)a candidate's 'level of support' can change significantly if just a few people change their mind. You're right that no one can sustain such high numbers. Many feel democracy is better served with more people running.
A lot of folks are still undecided. That doesn't surprise me. I won't make up my mind until at least seeing the debates and maybe not even until the day of the primary in my state.
I'd need to see a lot more people polled, or something really significant happen, to believe there's anything dramatic going on here. My take is that while more people have heard of Bernie they haven't committed to voting for him. That Biden is viewed as most likely to further the accomplishments of President Obama.
Hillary still has a very strong lead. I think the author of the article is trying to say that if Biden enters the race, people will seriously consider him. But I think the numbers for a potential candidate can be a bit higher before they enter a race. As opposed to if they actually do enter. Kind of like 'Yeah, sure, I'd love to see him run.'
Number23
(24,544 posts)The number of people in that poll that had heard of Bernie increased significantly and yet, his numbers are still pretty much where they've been all along.
I'd need to see a lot more people polled, or something really significant happen, to believe there's anything dramatic going on here. My take is that while more people have heard of Bernie they haven't committed to voting for him. That Biden is viewed as most likely to further the accomplishments of President Obama.
I said that same thing upthread. That I know I can't get a third term for Obama, but having his VP in the White House feels as close as I'm going to get. And that thought could easily put me in Biden's corner and I know I'm not alone in that regard.
qwlauren35
(6,145 posts)I'm normally an Independent, but I registered Democrat a few days ago so that I could vote in the primaries. So... I have to make a decision about a presidential candidate. I hadn't planned on it. I was going to let them duke it out, and just vote for the winner.
I absolutely do not know who I will vote for. Guess I ought to watch the debates...
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)Then, if you haven't already done so ... look up his policy positions and policy papers. I doubt you will find much policy outcome difference, but will find a huge "and this is how I'm going to do it", with a healthy dose of "this is how I DID it" gap.
Number23
(24,544 posts)If you do those three things, the candidate that makes the most sense and speaks to you the best will become revealed.
underpants
(182,734 posts)Just saying
F4lconF16
(3,747 posts)This is mostly why I ignore polls.
First, with Biden in it, it's practically useless. I wish they would stop with that.
Second, this had a miniscule sample size.
Third, there was no way Clinton was holding onto that lead forever.
Fourth, Biden, not Sanders, picks up most of that drop. I wouldn't be too worried if I were Clinton.
Fifth, I am mildly tired of the "look Bernie has black friends that like him" crap coming from white folks in GD. This is exactly why he polls so much lower among PoC from the people I've talked with, even coming from those PoC that do support him.
Sanders supporters need to stop crowing about these results. The black vote is not something to be courted, or won, or whatever else. It's a vote to be earned by consistent respect and attention towards major racial issues in this country. If that happens, PoC will trend towards him. Simply waving a poll saying PoC like him a bit more than last week is not going to attract more PoC to his campaign. So stupid, and more than mildly paternalistic. Normally I'm not that bothered by the celebratory threads over polls, but this is just celebrating because they "won" black people. Stop treating them as a voting block, treat them as people. Damn.
Can we just stop with the stupid polls for a month? Gah.
Number23
(24,544 posts)Welcome to the FREAKING club. Seriously. Except there ain't nothing "mild" about how sick I am of it.
And what's so funny is that there are actual black people in this forum who are saying and have always BEEN saying things that are 100% in line with what polls like this suggest. But somehow, it is OUR voices that are the ones that are ignored while the 4-5 black people who are not statistically representative in any way are held up as the "real" or "true" perspectives of black people.
Look at this poll. Out of 128 black people polled, 114 support President Obama. EIGHT do not. That is 89% that support this president. And yet, black people on DU, in academia, or wherever that support President Obama are the ones that are called "corporatists" and "right wingers" and treated as outliers while the people that represent that tiny, statistically insignificant number of black people that DON'T support Obama are lauded.
It is BEYOND fucked up. But it is also not the slightest bit unsurprising. Zealots have always tended to seek out and flock to one another.
But what happens is that this zealotry of opinion seeps into how things are even discussed here. Somehow, it is a "smear campaign" to dare to talk about the fact that Sanders has not addressed racial issues in a way that many blacks find convincing. Somehow it is "lies" to mention that for someone who has allegedly been so supportive of black causes, that a) most black people have never heard of him and b) black MEMBERS OF CONGRESS -- people who DO know what's he's done and is doing -- are not supporting him.
Somehow, a poll that shows Biden eating away at Hillary's support is crowed about by majority white Bernie supporters as some incredibly stupid "proof" of something that they clearly don't even understand themselves. And of course, black DUers who venture into that thread are attacked by the clueless and the confused who feel that what they see on the Twitter and Facebook feeds is more important than the real, lived experiences of actual black people and what we hear every single day from our families and friends.
Just like you, I'd love to stop with the polls for at least a month. But more importantly, I'd love to have people that CLEARLY do not give the first shit about black people, about black causes, about black issues stop talking about us and who we are voting for and what we think is important. And especially when it is beyond clear that we are only a means to an end for them and that they will not hesitate to shout us down and call us "liars," "corrupt," "subhuman" "thugs" the second we dare to think for ourselves and venture away from their pre-approved stances that they think we should all have.
F4lconF16
(3,747 posts)Other than to say, I hear you. I am listening.
And I am trying my best to get others to listen. Not here, on DU--it is not a good place to convince those who do not want to listen. But in the world around me, yes.
Thank you for your perspective, Number23. Genuinely, thank you; I have learned a lot over the last few months.
Number23
(24,544 posts)It is really appreciated.
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)Probably closer to 95-97% here in Harlem. Half of the 3-5% who don't support him are the type who are members of the Atlah church ("Obama is too liberal" and of course he is to Liberal for homophobes) and half are Cornel West followers ("Obama isn't liberal enough" .
Both criticisms of Obama are very unpopular where I live.
I find Bernie supporters confused and lacking understanding in general, not just about the dynamic of AA support in the primary race. The most obvious evidence of that is the belief that Bernie would be able to get anything done if elected because with the Republican House that we have, (which by the way due to redistricting we can't do much about until Jan 2023) no Democratic President is going to be able to do much of anything. These Bernie supporters either slept through or don't remember that whole "party of no" stuff that has been talked about over and over again.
Bernie hasn't given African American voters much of a reason to vote for him. Even the whole prison stuff he talked about essentially he can't do much about. Most of the folks in prison are convicted of breaking state laws and are in state prisons. Even federal stuff outside of pardons he can't do much about without congress. Presidents have to uphold the laws even laws they don't agree with.
JI7
(89,244 posts)this reminds me of the stuff i have been seeing in the last day or so about how Sanders is going to win because of Edward Snowden.
Number23
(24,544 posts)But I will agree that the naivete and cluelessness of so many of his supporters is nothing short of breathtaking. The idea that he or anyone can just bend Congress to their mighty will by pounding a podium or speaking forcefully enough is just incredibly stupid and embarrassing. But these same people thought the same thing about Obama so nothing should be surprising.
Once he was finally able to put his curmudgeonly nature aside, shut the fuck up and listen to what the BLM activists were trying to say to him, I think he's made some real progress and fleshed out his stance quite a bit on racial issues. More than just "it's awful that black people are still being so oppressed," he actually started to make concrete proposals. Hopefully he can start to do even more re: economics.
totodeinhere
(13,058 posts)but so would Hillary Clinton or any other Democrat. I don't see this reality as any indictment of Bernie.
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)If none of the Democrats can get anything passed the GOP House, what is the point of this insurgent campaign to lift a longshot outsider passed the established frontrunner?
And what is the point of the issues this longshot outsider puts forth that supposedly make him different? Ultimately, the only thing that matters is what you can get passed into law. And none of them will be able to do much of anything on that front.
This is a total waste of time, money and effort, for a candidate who presents a big fat meatball of a target to Republicans because he is a self identifying Socialist.
totodeinhere
(13,058 posts)least establishment candidate, and that is Bernie. Hillary has been around the block too many times, she has flip flopped on too many issues, and she accepts support from large donors. So since either probably won't get anything through the House anyway why not support the candidate who shows the most passion for progressive causes? And why not support the candidate who has supported gay marriage throughout his political career as opposed to Hillary who only supported it after the polls turned on the issue?
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)everyone and blowing sunshine up everyone's posterior.
The line between that and lying/dishonesty is pretty thin.
There is no reason for Bernie's candidacy and the Socialism issue makes him unelectable.
totodeinhere
(13,058 posts)deliver everything they want so why not go with the real thing. And head to head polls have shown Bernie in some cases doing better than Hillary in general election matchups. I know it's early and a lot can change but I see no reason why Bernie cannot win. Our country needs him and it's ready for him. I even think he will do better than Hillary with Republican voters. You can say a lot of things about me but "stupid" is not one of them and if I didn't firmly believe that Bernie could win I would not support him.
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)Anyone can do that.
Whether you like the phraseology or not it means the same thing and it's dishonest.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)which "I will not compromise" leads to.
stevenleser
(32,886 posts)They have raked Obama over the coals for any instance he compromised.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)leftofcool
(19,460 posts)1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)especially the (not so) "mildly tired of the "look Bernie has black friends that like him" crap coming from white folks in GD" part.
But your 4th point: " Biden, not Sanders, picks up most of that drop", makes clear that it's NOT about "winning Black people"; but rather, celebrating anything anti-HRC.
NanceGreggs
(27,813 posts)In other words: We want you to note that the very group (blacks) that we are seeing a "surprising shift" among is the SAME group we included a disclaimer about due to the "large margin of error on black responses".
Number23
(24,544 posts)massive lead over her competitors.
In addition to the huge MOE, by continuing to toss Biden into every poll, they're doing nothing but screwing everything up and making it difficult to understand the true depth of her national support. If Biden does toss his hat into the ring, Hillary will face some serious competition. The idea of Obama's VP in the White House does very good things to me, I have to admit.
But until Biden declares, Hillary's not dealing with very much competition. And I think pretty much everyone knows that.
NanceGreggs
(27,813 posts)And I don't disagree.
But the problem remains that when a poll touting an enormous shift in HRC's support among AAs includes a disclaimer that of all the groups polled, the numbers pertaining to AAs are the least reliable/accurate, I've got to wonder what this poll is attempting to say.
"Look at that amazing shift in HRC's support among AAs - but keep in mind that of all demographics polled, that particular demographic is the one we probably screwed-up on" does not give me much confidence in anything else this "poll" has to say about anything.
Number23
(24,544 posts)AA support and the first thing you see is "yeah, um. This group that we're touting in the title of this article is really the one group that we're not even sure we have the best/most accurate numbers on."
Hillary will not maintain 87% AA support throughout the primary season, I don't think. But her plunging 31% in the course of a month is still pretty suspect.
NuclearDem
(16,184 posts)Taking evidence from a reality that doesn't exist and declaring victory.
Number23
(24,544 posts)what the hell they were even trumpeting truly made it a post for the ages.
This is why I wanted to bring the topic in here. Where we could discuss the issues intelligently. Notice in all of the responses to this OP not one has called this anything even resembling a victory for Bernie Sanders. Most of us are actually able to read here and we could see that it was clear that Biden was the one who was eroding Hillary's support.
And yet in GD, these people could see this poll where more black people were undecided than voted for Sanders and it somehow, magically becomes "proof" of black people "feeling the Bern" and that the "smear campaign" black people waged on Sanders by daring to ask that he address black issues "wasn't working." Words cannot express the depths of my pity and contempt for these people.
lovemydog
(11,833 posts)I'm glad the topic is here. I've read this thread and the replies are thoughtful and fact-based. By contrast, much of the thread in GDP about the same article is whack. It's plain strange how many there don't read critically, or express paranoid theories as fact.
Number23
(24,544 posts)You could not have nailed that harder.
I could title this A Tale of Two Threads. That other thread and this one. Of course, this one didn't get NEARLY as many recs but I'd take 10 recs from people who are actually able to read and understand basic math over 100+ clapping seals any day of the week.
MADem
(135,425 posts)leading to GD-P!!! Right on the money!
YoungDemCA
(5,714 posts)Maybe a little of both?
MADem
(135,425 posts)I would be shocked if, given Biden's addition to the choices, that a lot of people (maybe some who have that "bros before..." attitude working, despite their better angels telling them that shit isn't cool) wouldn't peel off and support him.
After all, he was BARACK's VP choice. It would be a "baton passing" kind of thing.
1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)as the widely misinterpreted recent poll demonstrates. But I don't think it's a "Bros before ..." thing; rather, it is because of the supportive relationship Biden had with President Obama. Even when they differed on policy, it was never an attack.
Yes, Black folks will see a Biden Presidency as a 3rd President Obama term ... that Black folks were/are, largely, happy with.
MADem
(135,425 posts)He got out in front of POTUS on equality, and made it seem a bit like BHO was playing catch-up. I think that was unintentional, though--and forgiven. And there was the "Big fucking deal" comment which ate up a big chunk of the Obamacare press, which was kind of funny, but still, a bit of a bigfoot.
But overall, yes, they are supportive of one another, they like each other--and he's still there. HRC was a tireless SECSTATE, but she's not in the job anymore so he's not interacting with her on a daily basis.
I am entirely unclear on what might happen next. I think the POLITICO article today, posted elsewhere in this thread, only muddies the waters further.
Number23
(24,544 posts)I know that there's no way that Obama can run for a third term. But having his VP in the White House would come very close to making me do a Snoopy happy dance.
And I know I'm not alone in that regard.
MADem
(135,425 posts)Hard to know what their sourcing is, but they are saying he gave her the story that he might run (which is odd, since she SCREWED him with the Neil Kinnock thing--though that was a long time ago) and they are also saying Jill and his sister are saying "Nooooooo."
http://www.politico.com/story/2015/10/joe-biden-beau-2016-214459
So...who leaked THIS? Jill Biden? Joe's sister? Joe himself, playing the ultimate "jerk the press around" game?
Dragging the remaining son, Hunter, (as the article suggests) into this situation is a mistake--even in terms of him urging Dad on, or anything like that. The GOP would tear him to shreds (had to use his father's influence to get an age waiver to get a commission the Navy, then washed out after twenty grand worth of initial entry training on a coke urinalysis--if that were my kid, he'd be in Leavenworth).
Joe has run twice and barely bubbled up. He works great as a 2nd fiddle, but is seen as less impressive in the Number One spot. Warren is keeping her mouth shut, but I think she has the impression that she's got a future in politics--either in the Senate leadership, or maybe as Fed Chair, and she doesn't want to hitch her wagon to his star--it would make her look like a huge hypocrite as he is diametrically opposed to her on all her signature issues (her--game is rigged/him--credit card state, e.g.).
I think he's a nice guy but if he wants to go out on a high note he should look at angling for SECSTATE in the next Democratic President's cabinet. He really does know his way around the geopolitical issues, he loves talking about them, he knows everyone and he doesn't drink so he is always clear-headed in negotiations.
I can't figure it all out--there seems to be a piece missing. I get the impression we're seeing some of that multi-dimensional "chess" wrt Biden, but we don't see all the pieces on the board!!!
lovemydog
(11,833 posts)It's tough to believe Maureen Down would have access to positive inside information on Biden. She tends to speculate on hearsay within hearsay, as in 'I heard it from a friend who heard it from a friend who may have heard it from someone or just made it all up.' I agree he'd make an excellent Secretary of State. If he wants to run for President I'd welcome him in the race. Not sure it would be worth all the effort though. Hillary and Bernie seem to currently have the most traction. Not sure his heart is in it for the long term battle of trying to win the presidency. But American presidential races are often surprising & entertaining. I'm looking forward to the first debate Tuesday October 13.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Drawing inferences from small subsamples is fraught with danger. Here's a yougov poll with a much larger subsample , without Biden:
Among Hispanics HRC leads BS 82% -18%
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/0xv2459omk/econTabReport.pdf pg 18
And here's another subsample from PPP :
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/national/
To get a better sample of a subsample it would best to average several subsamples.
Number23
(24,544 posts)Clinton vs Biden (black vote)
Biden - 34%
Clinton - 66%
(page 16)
Hillary vs. Sanders (black vote)
Hillary - 84%
Sanders - 16%
(page 18)
What I'd love to see is a black organization poll over 1000 black voters -- WITHOUT BIDEN UNTIL HE DECLARES -- and see those results. That would be very telling.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)If you are so inclined you can take the last several polls and find the sub samples and average them; take AAs for HRC and SBS, add em up and then average em.