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Wed Apr 7, 2021, 06:22 PM

Possible Full Vaccination

Last edited Thu Apr 8, 2021, 02:45 AM - Edit history (9)

While herd immunity may be achieved in July maximum coverage would take longer.

If the 3 million vaccines average per day being administered is maintained maximum coverage may be reached around the end of August or early September. Rough figures follow. If someone would care to fine tune the timeline I would appreciate it.

Population of 350,000,000

2 shots each = 700,000,000

150,000,000 have been given (per Jen Psaki on April 7).

550,000,000 still to go

3,000,000 avg per day administered

183 days needed to vaccinate 549,000,000

Some will refuse. I am using 1/2 the population being Republican and 25% [44 million] of them refusing to be vaccinated negating 88 million shots needed reducing days needed to administer by 30 days to around 153. Because of rounding (and 1 shot vaccine Johnson & Johnson) max may be reached by the end of August or early September. If greater numbers refuse to be vaccinated or have already been removed the timeline will be shortened.

My astrology charts for August 25 look good for me and president Biden.

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Arrow 12 replies Author Time Post
Reply Possible Full Vaccination (Original post)
bobnicewander Apr 7 OP
elleng Apr 7 #1
bottomofthehill Apr 7 #2
bobnicewander Apr 7 #3
bottomofthehill Apr 7 #4
bobnicewander Apr 7 #6
Shermann Apr 7 #8
bobnicewander Apr 8 #10
getagrip_already Apr 7 #5
bobnicewander Apr 7 #7
bobnicewander Apr 8 #9
getagrip_already Apr 8 #11
bobnicewander Apr 8 #12

Response to bobnicewander (Original post)

Wed Apr 7, 2021, 06:29 PM

1. Thanks

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Response to bobnicewander (Original post)

Wed Apr 7, 2021, 06:29 PM

2. And children under 12

There is not a tested vaccine or dosage for them yet

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Response to bottomofthehill (Reply #2)

Wed Apr 7, 2021, 06:38 PM

3. As the population total

includes children under 12 if they are not vaccinated the coverage completion for all people over the age of 12 could come by July depending on the number who refuse vaccinations.

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Response to bobnicewander (Reply #3)

Wed Apr 7, 2021, 06:47 PM

4. Plus the 31 million who have had Covid, less the nearly 600,000 who have died.

They should get the vaccine but have some immunity for some length of time towards herd immunity (its nice to say that instead of the herd mentality the former guy/ nitwit spoke of)

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Response to bottomofthehill (Reply #4)

Wed Apr 7, 2021, 06:57 PM

6. Kindly ilucidate us

Last edited Thu Apr 8, 2021, 12:08 AM - Edit history (1)

with your timeline proposal and it's astrological outlook.

A July possibility for herd immunity is looking stronger.

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Response to bobnicewander (Reply #6)

Wed Apr 7, 2021, 08:10 PM

8. I'd assume the recorded cases times two

Also we don't need 100% vaccination for herd immunity, more like 70% - 90%

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Response to Shermann (Reply #8)

Thu Apr 8, 2021, 03:03 AM

10. Recorded Cases?

If you mean shots in arms, Jen said 150,000,000.

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Response to bobnicewander (Original post)

Wed Apr 7, 2021, 06:56 PM

5. half the population is NOT republican.....

Registered republicans only make up about 20% of registered voters per gallups latest poll. Throw in the indy leaners and maybe you get to 35%.

And the murky middle is not avoiding vaccination at the rates registered q's are.

So please drop the half the country is q crap. Please. They aren't and never were.

People vote qop for a lot of {stupid} reasons, even if they aren't dyed in the wool idiots. They are not all vax deniers.



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Response to getagrip_already (Reply #5)

Wed Apr 7, 2021, 07:11 PM

7. Thank you for

your most helpful contribution.

What does your astrology work indicate?

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Response to getagrip_already (Reply #5)

Thu Apr 8, 2021, 01:29 AM

9. Reply to getagrip_already

Quote from you - "Registered republicans only make up about 20% of registered voters per gallups latest poll. Throw in the indy leaners and maybe you get to 35%"

From Dave Liep's site: 2020 Presidential General Election Results

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/index.html

Candidate....Pol Party.......Popular Vote......%
Biden..........Democratic....81,285,974........51.26%
Trump.........Republican....74,225,754........46.80%

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Response to bobnicewander (Reply #9)

Thu Apr 8, 2021, 08:46 AM

11. those aren't all registered republicans (or dems)

Voting is different than party reg. People vote republican for lots of reasons, but they aren't all q. Just like dem voters aren't all flaming socialists...

The reason I say this is because when pollsters make a claim that xx% of republican voters, they are talking specifically about registered republicans or voters who identify as republican. Not those that voted republican.

I agree that the mere act of voting for trump was deplorable on many levels, but half the country is not q.

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Response to getagrip_already (Reply #11)

Thu Apr 8, 2021, 03:40 PM

12. I never said

Last edited Fri Apr 9, 2021, 04:16 PM - Edit history (2)

1/2 the country is q. You seem to have a hangup with q.

Do you dispute my proposed timeline for approximate maximum vaccination against Covid-19? Will you propose your own timeline?

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