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Eugene

(61,813 posts)
Thu Apr 5, 2018, 03:06 PM Apr 2018

Another busy Atlantic hurricane season expected, but unlikely as brutal as the last one

Source: Washington Post

Another busy Atlantic hurricane season expected, but unlikely as brutal as the last one

By Phil Klotzbach and Brian McNoldy April 5 at 10:19 AM

Last year’s hurricane season was more than twice as active as a typical season, and an onslaught of storms left deep wounds across the Caribbean and southern United States that have not yet healed. But, ready or not, the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1.

As it has done every year since 1984, Colorado State University has released its initial predictions for the upcoming season. Its forecast is for a total of 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes, which is slightly above the long-term average of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes. Last year, we saw 17 named storms, 10 hurricanes and six major hurricanes.

These 2018 predictions will be updated on May 31, July 2 and Aug. 2.

Two primary factors critical for determining how active the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season will be whether El Niño develops and the configuration of North Atlantic sea surface temperatures.

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Read more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2018/04/05/another-busy-atlantic-hurricane-expected-but-not-as-brutal-as-the-last-one/

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Another busy Atlantic hurricane season expected, but unlikely as brutal as the last one (Original Post) Eugene Apr 2018 OP
In other words, we don't really know. Prepare for the worst and hope for the best. dameatball Apr 2018 #1
Long range forecasts are useless (n/t) PJMcK Apr 2018 #2
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