Why does this guy mostly rely on Rasmussen and Gallup polling

[bigdarryl]

PPP and a couple of other firms to me are more accurate than these two especially Rasmussen and why is he constently talking about the BUMP Obama had that is fading http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[Wellstone ruled]

1. Hard Right boot lickers.

It's all about the formulation of the questions,been there done that,and,elocution and diction. These two firms share the same call lists. Pukes are light years ahead of the Dems when it comes to using the net. Their data bases are huge,they know who voted and when and where since the late 70's.

[HERVEPA]

2. Incorrect

Nate Silver of 538 is meticulous, was spot on in 2008, and uses very complex techniques to comre up with his analyses.
I assure you he is doing a heck of a lot more analysis of the polls than your stamenet indicates.
If you read his columns daily you can not help but be aware of this.

[Blue Yorker]

3. Bigdarryl has a point

Silver cherrypicked tracking polls for his headline. Yesterday he said the electoral college might not help Obama, despite Obama right now kicking Romney's ass in that department. Silver wants Republicans and Democrats to read his column, so he tries to keep it close.

[Aerows]

4. He also uses Gravis Marketing

Who has donated to the Romney campaign, and consistently polls much higher numbers for Romney. How a polling company that donates to one political candidate can't be viewed as biased as hell, I'll never know.

[brooklynite]

5. He doesn't...

He uses current polling by everyone, as wel as non-polling factors, and runs somulation models.

[k2qb3]

6. Polling is only as accurate as the assumptions it's based on.

There are significant differences of opinion on what turnout is going to be like and a lot of contradictory evidence on who has an enthusiasm gap.

538 tries to average all that out, and is itself only as accurate as the assumption that the average assumption is accurate.

[hrmjustin]

7. You want people to think that it is close so that people will vote.

Otherwise people might stay home. Gallop and rass will always be used because they are the tracking polls.